Prediction: Birmingham Legion FC vs Detroit City FC
Expected goals: 2.32 (Birmingham Legion FC 1.09 · Detroit City FC 1.23). The model gives 32% home, 29% draw, 39% away. Under 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Birmingham Legion FC is 2-6-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Detroit City FC 4-4-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham Legion FC won 1 and Detroit City FC 3, with 2 draws.
| Birmingham Legion FC | Draw | Detroit City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Detroit City FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Birmingham Legion FC | Detroit City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Birmingham Legion FC 1–2–3 Detroit City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/25 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Detroit City FC |
| 22/03/25 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Birmingham Legion FC |
| 17/08/24 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Detroit City FC |
| 27/06/24 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Birmingham Legion FC |
| 27/08/23 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Detroit City FC |
| 27/05/23 USA USL Championship | Detroit City FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Birmingham Legion FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 17 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Loudoun United FC | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Birmingham Legion FC | Detroit City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Loudoun United FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Louisville City FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Miami FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Detroit City FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Birmingham Legion FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | San Antonio FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Detroit City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Louisville City FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
3-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/06 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 21/05 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Birmingham Legion FC vs Detroit City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Detroit City FC win (39%). Probabilities: Birmingham Legion FC 32%, draw 29%, Detroit City FC 39%.
How many goals are expected in Birmingham Legion FC vs Detroit City FC?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Birmingham Legion FC 1.09 · Detroit City FC 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Birmingham Legion FC vs Detroit City FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.