Prediction: Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion FC
Expected goals: 2.97 (Miami FC 1.71 · Birmingham Legion FC 1.26). The model gives 47% home, 26% draw, 27% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Miami FC is 4-2-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Birmingham Legion FC 2-6-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Miami FC and 3 for Birmingham Legion FC, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- H2H favours Birmingham Legion FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Miami FC | Birmingham Legion FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miami FC 2–1–3 Birmingham Legion FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Miami FC |
| 19/10/25 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Miami FC |
| 25/05/25 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Birmingham Legion FC |
| 22/09/24 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Miami FC |
| 21/04/24 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Birmingham Legion FC |
| 25/09/23 USA USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Miami FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 17 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Loudoun United FC | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Miami FC | Birmingham Legion FC |
|---|---|---|
| Oakland Roots | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Louisville City FC | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Miami FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miami FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 4-3 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | FC Naples USA USL Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting JAX USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Birmingham Legion FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | San Antonio FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Miami FC win (47%). Probabilities: Miami FC 47%, draw 26%, Birmingham Legion FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion FC?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Miami FC 1.71 · Birmingham Legion FC 1.26), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.