Prediction: Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery
Expected goals: 2.84 (Indy Eleven 1.37 · Charleston Battery 1.47). The model gives 34% home, 27% draw, 39% away. Over 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Indy Eleven with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Charleston Battery has piled up 7-2-1 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Indy Eleven won 0 and Charleston Battery 5, with 1 draw.
| Indy Eleven | Draw | Charleston Battery | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charleston Battery (rating 1508 vs 1583).
- H2H favours Charleston Battery: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Indy Eleven | Charleston Battery | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 2.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Indy Eleven 0–1–5 Charleston Battery
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 USA USL Championship | Charleston Battery | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 20/04/25 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Charleston Battery |
| 03/08/24 USA USL Championship | Charleston Battery | 5-0 HT 0-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 14/04/24 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Charleston Battery |
| 22/10/23 USA USL Championship | Charleston Battery | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Indy Eleven |
| 13/07/23 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Charleston Battery |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 17 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Loudoun United FC | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Indy Eleven | Charleston Battery |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Sporting JAX | 2-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Charleston Battery (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Indy Eleven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Union Omaha USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Charleston Battery
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
3-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Richmond Kickers USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Charleston Battery win (39%). Probabilities: Indy Eleven 34%, draw 27%, Charleston Battery 39%.
How many goals are expected in Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Indy Eleven 1.37 · Charleston Battery 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.