Prediction: Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn FC
Expected goals: 2.57 (Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.76 · Brooklyn FC 0.81). The model gives 59% home, 25% draw, 16% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Pittsburgh Riverhounds sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while Brooklyn FC arrives on a 2-3-5 run.
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Draw | Brooklyn FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 59% | 24% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pittsburgh Riverhounds (rating 1542 vs 1467).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Brooklyn FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.5 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 17 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Loudoun United FC | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Brooklyn FC |
|---|---|---|
| Hartford Athletic | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Miami FC | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Louisville City FC | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pittsburgh Riverhounds (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Charlotte Independence USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/04 | New York Red Bulls USA US Open Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
Brooklyn FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL Cup |
3-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | New York Cosmos USA USL Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 22/04 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win (59%). Probabilities: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 59%, draw 25%, Brooklyn FC 16%.
How many goals are expected in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn FC?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.76 · Brooklyn FC 0.81), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.