Prediction: Miami FC vs Indy Eleven
Expected goals: 2.98 (Miami FC 1.45 · Indy Eleven 1.53). The model gives 35% home, 27% draw, 38% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Miami FC with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Indy Eleven has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Miami FC and 5 for Indy Eleven, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Indy Eleven (rating 1468 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Indy Eleven: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Miami FC | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 3.4 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miami FC 0–1–5 Indy Eleven
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Miami FC |
| 17/04/25 USA US Open Cup | Indy Eleven | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Miami FC |
| 16/03/25 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Indy Eleven |
| 29/09/24 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Miami FC |
| 13/05/24 USA USL Championship | Miami FC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Indy Eleven |
| 03/09/23 USA USL Championship | Indy Eleven | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Miami FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United FC | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 41 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Miami FC | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Indy Eleven (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miami FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/06 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 4-3 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | FC Naples USA USL Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Indy Eleven
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Lexington SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Union Omaha USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Indy Eleven win (38%). Probabilities: Miami FC 35%, draw 27%, Indy Eleven 38%.
How many goals are expected in Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Miami FC 1.45 · Indy Eleven 1.53), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.