Prediction: Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Expected goals: 2.95 (Sporting JAX 1.33 · Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.62). The model gives 30% home, 27% draw, 43% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Sporting JAX sits at 1-4-5 (W-D-L), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds arrives on a 5-3-2 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Sporting JAX won 0 and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pittsburgh Riverhounds (rating 1434 vs 1533).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting JAX | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.6 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.3 | 1.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting JAX 0–0–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 USA USL Championship | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Sporting JAX |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United FC | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 41 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting JAX | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 2-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Detroit City FC | 2-6 L | 2-1 W |
| Brooklyn FC | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Indy Eleven | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Pittsburgh Riverhounds (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting JAX
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 28/05 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Naples USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 14/05 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Charlotte Independence USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pittsburgh Riverhounds win (43%). Probabilities: Sporting JAX 30%, draw 27%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 43%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Sporting JAX 1.33 · Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.