Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/07, 20:00

Prediction: Leones de Rosario vs Central Cordoba de Rosario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.74Total

Leones de Rosario1.14

Central Cordoba de Rosario0.61

1X2

48% 33% 19%

Leones de Rosario Draw Central Cordoba de Rosario

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Leones de Rosario 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWWDLD

Central Cordoba de Rosario 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLWDDL

Head-to-head

Leones de Rosario 1–0 Central Cordoba de Rosario (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leones de Rosario 1520 · Central Cordoba de Rosario 1463

	Leones de Rosario	Draw	Central Cordoba de Rosario
Our model	47%	34%	18%
Market	49%	31%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 1.74 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leones de Rosario (rating 1520 vs 1463).
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leones de Rosario	Central Cordoba de Rosario
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	5.8 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.83

X2.88

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.88

Under 1.751.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:13 +2’	1.83	2.88	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leones de Rosario 1–0–0 Central Cordoba de Rosario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Cordoba de Rosario	0-1 HT 0-0	Leones de Rosario

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canuelas FC	20	9	9	2	23	12	36
2	Lujan	19	9	6	4	22	14	33
3	Leones de Rosario	19	7	8	4	19	17	29
4	Yupanqui	20	7	7	6	24	21	28
5	Deportivo Espanol	20	6	10	4	17	14	28
6	General Lamadrid	20	7	7	6	18	20	28
7	Sportivo Barracas	20	7	4	9	22	21	25
8	El Porvenir	20	4	13	3	15	15	25
9	CA Atlas	19	6	7	6	16	17	25
10	Central Ballester	19	6	4	9	18	21	22
11	CA Claypole	19	5	6	8	15	23	21
12	Central Cordoba de Rosario	19	4	8	7	12	15	20
13	Fenix	20	5	5	10	13	21	20
14	Deportivo Muniz	20	3	9	8	14	20	18

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leones de Rosario	Central Cordoba de Rosario
CA Claypole	1-1 D	2-2 D
Central Ballester	0-1 L	3-2 W
El Porvenir	0-0 D	0-1 L
Yupanqui	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Leones de Rosario (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Leones de Rosario

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
04/07	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
27/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
25/06	Atletico San Jorge Argentina Copa Santa Fe	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
15/06	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
06/06	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
30/05	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
23/05	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	11	5	W
16/05	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	2-2	9	9	D
09/05	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	11	D

Central Cordoba de Rosario

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
05/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
27/06	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
25/06	Central Argentino de La Banda Argentina Copa Santa Fe	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
13/06	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
06/06	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
30/05	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	2-2	4	6	D
23/05	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	3-2	3-2	3	6	W
17/05	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	10	D
10/05	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leones de Rosario vs Central Cordoba de Rosario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leones de Rosario win (48%). Probabilities: Leones de Rosario 48%, draw 33%, Central Cordoba de Rosario 19%.

How many goals are expected in Leones de Rosario vs Central Cordoba de Rosario?

The model expects 1.74 goals (Leones de Rosario 1.14 · Central Cordoba de Rosario 0.61), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leones de Rosario vs Central Cordoba de Rosario?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.