Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/09, 20:00

Prediction: Canuelas FC vs Victoriano Arenas

Team pages: Canuelas FC · Victoriano Arenas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.91Total

Canuelas FC1.07

Victoriano Arenas0.85

1X2

39% 33% 28%

Canuelas FC Draw Victoriano Arenas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Canuelas FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLLWWW

Victoriano Arenas 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDWDLWDD

Head-to-head

Canuelas FC 1–5–0 Victoriano Arenas (6 last)

Victoriano Arenas2-2Canuelas FC
Victoriano Arenas0-0Canuelas FC
Canuelas FC1-1Victoriano Arenas
Victoriano Arenas2-2Canuelas FC
Canuelas FC2-0Victoriano Arenas
Victoriano Arenas1-1Canuelas FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canuelas FC 1539 · Victoriano Arenas 1490

	Canuelas FC	Draw	Victoriano Arenas
Our model	39%	34%	27%
Market	39%	33%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.91 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1539 vs 1490).
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canuelas FC	Victoriano Arenas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	0/90/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.75

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:44 +9’	2.30	2.75	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canuelas FC 1–5–0 Victoriano Arenas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	2-2 HT 1-1	Canuelas FC
13/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	0-0 HT 0-0	Canuelas FC
30/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Victoriano Arenas
01/03/20 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	2-2 HT 1-0	Canuelas FC
07/09/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Canuelas FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Victoriano Arenas
15/02/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	1-1 HT 1-0	Canuelas FC

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	27	14	7	6	39	22	49
2	Canuelas FC	27	13	9	5	32	20	48
3	Leones de Rosario	27	11	10	6	26	22	43
4	Deportivo Espanol	28	9	15	4	21	15	42
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	27	10	9	8	26	21	39
6	Sportivo Barracas	27	11	5	11	31	26	38
7	General Lamadrid	27	9	10	8	22	25	37
8	CA Atlas	27	9	9	9	22	22	36
9	Central Ballester	27	9	7	11	26	27	34
10	Yupanqui	27	8	9	10	31	31	33
11	El Porvenir	27	6	15	6	22	25	33
12	Fenix	27	6	9	12	19	27	27
13	CA Claypole	27	6	8	13	19	35	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	27	4	10	13	17	32	22

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canuelas FC	Victoriano Arenas
General Lamadrid	2-0 W	0-1 L
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	1-2 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Espanol	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Canuelas FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canuelas FC

DWWLWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-2	1	8	W
31/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	1	3	W
22/08	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
15/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	4	10	L
09/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	6	L
03/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
25/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
18/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
11/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	0	9	W
05/07	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Victoriano Arenas

DDLDWDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
30/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
22/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
15/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
31/07	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
25/07	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
17/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
05/07	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canuelas FC vs Victoriano Arenas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Canuelas FC win (39%). Probabilities: Canuelas FC 39%, draw 33%, Victoriano Arenas 28%.

How many goals are expected in Canuelas FC vs Victoriano Arenas?

The model expects 1.91 goals (Canuelas FC 1.07 · Victoriano Arenas 0.85), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Canuelas FC vs Victoriano Arenas?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.