Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/10, 20:00

Prediction: Yupanqui vs Lujan

Team pages: Yupanqui · Lujan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Yupanqui0.87

Lujan1.38

1X2

23% 30% 48%

Yupanqui Draw Lujan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Yupanqui 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLDLDL

Lujan 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Yupanqui 0–1–5 Lujan (6 last)

Lujan2-0Yupanqui
Lujan1-0Yupanqui
Yupanqui1-2Lujan
Yupanqui1-2Lujan
Lujan0-0Yupanqui
Lujan2-1Yupanqui

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yupanqui 1438 · Lujan 1575

	Yupanqui	Draw	Lujan
Our model	22%	30%	48%
Market	23%	29%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lujan (rating 1438 vs 1575).
H2H favours Lujan: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yupanqui	Lujan
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	2.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13%

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +21’	3.90	3.00	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yupanqui 0–1–5 Lujan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	2-0 HT 1-0	Yupanqui
16/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	1-0 HT 1-0	Yupanqui
02/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Yupanqui	1-2 HT 1-2	Lujan
20/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Yupanqui	1-2 HT 1-0	Lujan
18/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	0-0 HT 0-0	Yupanqui
25/09/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	2-1 HT 0-1	Yupanqui

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	31	18	7	6	45	22	61
2	Canuelas FC	31	16	10	5	39	22	58
3	Central Cordoba de Rosario	31	13	10	8	32	22	49
4	Deportivo Espanol	31	11	16	4	25	16	49
5	Leones de Rosario	31	12	12	7	29	24	48
6	General Lamadrid	31	9	13	9	23	27	40
7	Sportivo Barracas	31	11	6	14	32	32	39
8	Central Ballester	31	10	8	13	29	30	38
9	CA Atlas	31	9	10	12	23	27	37
10	El Porvenir	31	7	16	8	26	31	37
11	Yupanqui	31	8	11	12	33	35	35
12	Fenix	31	8	10	13	23	30	34
13	CA Claypole	31	8	9	14	25	39	33
14	Deportivo Muniz	31	6	11	14	22	36	29

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yupanqui	Lujan
Central Cordoba de Rosario	0-1 L	1-2 L
General Lamadrid	0-0 D	1-0 W
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	1-1 D	2-0 W
Leones de Rosario	0-1 L	1-0 W
CA Atlas	0-2 L	1-0 W
Canuelas FC	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lujan (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yupanqui

LWDLLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
26/09	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
21/09	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
12/09	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
04/09	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
30/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
22/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	9	L
14/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
08/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
03/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	2	6	L

Lujan

WLWDWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	9	7	W
28/09	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
19/09	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
12/09	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
06/09	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	2-3	4	8	L
29/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
24/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
16/08	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
04/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yupanqui vs Lujan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lujan win (48%). Probabilities: Yupanqui 23%, draw 30%, Lujan 48%.

How many goals are expected in Yupanqui vs Lujan?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Yupanqui 0.87 · Lujan 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Yupanqui vs Lujan?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.