Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/10, 20:00

Prediction: JJ Urquiza vs Deportivo Paraguayo

Team pages: JJ Urquiza · Deportivo Paraguayo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

JJ Urquiza1.1

Deportivo Paraguayo0.87

1X2

40% 32% 28%

JJ Urquiza Draw Deportivo Paraguayo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

JJ Urquiza 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWDDLW

Deportivo Paraguayo 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWLWDD

Head-to-head

JJ Urquiza 1–1–1 Deportivo Paraguayo (3 last)

Deportivo Paraguayo0-0JJ Urquiza
Deportivo Paraguayo1-0JJ Urquiza
JJ Urquiza1-0Deportivo Paraguayo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JJ Urquiza 1489 · Deportivo Paraguayo 1496

	JJ Urquiza	Draw	Deportivo Paraguayo
Our model	39%	34%	27%
Market	40%	31%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JJ Urquiza	Deportivo Paraguayo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.6	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.25

X2.88

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:57 +9’	2.25	2.88	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JJ Urquiza 1–1–1 Deportivo Paraguayo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Paraguayo	0-0 HT 0-0	JJ Urquiza
16/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Paraguayo	1-0 HT 0-0	JJ Urquiza
15/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Paraguayo

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Berazategui	31	12	12	7	37	24	48
2	Centro Espanol	31	12	11	8	42	28	47
3	Sacachispas	31	13	8	10	32	26	47
4	CA Lugano	31	11	13	7	35	28	46
5	Juventud Unida San Miguel	31	12	9	10	38	31	45
6	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	31	11	12	8	31	29	45
7	Club Mercedes	31	11	11	9	30	24	44
8	Victoriano Arenas	31	10	14	7	24	19	44
9	Puerto Nuevo	31	9	11	11	28	35	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	31	9	9	13	25	31	36
11	JJ Urquiza	31	6	14	11	19	26	32
12	Deportivo Paraguayo	31	7	11	13	23	39	32
13	Club Leandro N. Alem	31	8	7	16	30	56	31
14	Argentino de Rosario	31	4	15	12	30	41	27

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JJ Urquiza	Deportivo Paraguayo
Puerto Nuevo	4-1 W	3-2 W
Club Leandro N. Alem	1-2 L	4-1 W
Defensores de Cambaceres	0-0 D	0-0 D
Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-0 W	2-1 W
Sacachispas	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: JJ Urquiza (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JJ Urquiza

DLLWLWDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	4-1	8	2	W
28/09	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
18/09	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
31/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	2	8	L
22/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	6	1	W
16/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
08/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
31/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Deportivo Paraguayo

DLLWDWLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
26/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
20/09	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-2	3	8	W
12/09	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
06/09	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	4-1	2	6	W
29/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
22/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
16/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
10/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
04/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JJ Urquiza vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JJ Urquiza win (40%). Probabilities: JJ Urquiza 40%, draw 32%, Deportivo Paraguayo 28%.

How many goals are expected in JJ Urquiza vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

The model expects 1.97 goals (JJ Urquiza 1.1 · Deportivo Paraguayo 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in JJ Urquiza vs Deportivo Paraguayo?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.