Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/09, 20:00
Prediction: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Yupanqui
Team pages: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn · Yupanqui
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1.27
Yupanqui0.96
1X2
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Draw
Yupanqui
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Yupanqui
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
1–2–0
Yupanqui
(3 last)
- Yupanqui0-0Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
- Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1-0Yupanqui
- Yupanqui0-0Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1516 · Yupanqui 1460
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | Draw | Yupanqui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 31% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn (rating 1516 vs 1460).
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | Yupanqui | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 1.9 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1–2–0 Yupanqui
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
| 28/06/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Yupanqui |
| 15/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 22 | 49 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 43 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 39 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | General Lamadrid | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Atlas | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 22 | 36 |
| 9 | Central Ballester | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 27 | 34 |
| 10 | Yupanqui | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 33 |
| 11 | El Porvenir | 27 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 33 |
| 12 | Fenix | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 27 |
| 13 | CA Claypole | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 26 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 32 | 22 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/08 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Yupanqui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 14/08 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 06/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Yupanqui?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win (42%). Probabilities: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 42%, draw 31%, Yupanqui 27%.
How many goals are expected in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Yupanqui?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.27 · Yupanqui 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Yupanqui?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.