Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/10, 20:00

Prediction: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Team pages: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn · Juventud Unida San Miguel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.98Total

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1.04

Juventud Unida San Miguel0.94

1X2

35% 36% 29%

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Draw Juventud Unida San Miguel

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLDDWD

Juventud Unida San Miguel 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLLWDW

Head-to-head

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0–1–2 Juventud Unida San Miguel (3 last)

Juventud Unida San Miguel2-0Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Juventud Unida San Miguel1-1Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0-2Juventud Unida San Miguel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1490 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1531

	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	Draw	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Our model	36%	34%	31%
Market	34%	38%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventud Unida San Miguel (rating 1490 vs 1531).
H2H favours Juventud Unida San Miguel: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	1.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.7	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X2.40

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 1.752.02

Under 1.751.77

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
21:55 +3’	2.70	2.40	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0–1–2 Juventud Unida San Miguel

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-0 HT 1-0	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
21/06/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	1-1 HT 0-1	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
08/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	0-2 HT 0-2	Juventud Unida San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Berazategui	31	12	12	7	37	24	48
2	Centro Espanol	31	12	11	8	42	28	47
3	Sacachispas	31	13	8	10	32	26	47
4	CA Lugano	31	11	13	7	35	28	46
5	Juventud Unida San Miguel	31	12	9	10	38	31	45
6	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	31	11	12	8	31	29	45
7	Club Mercedes	31	11	11	9	30	24	44
8	Victoriano Arenas	31	10	14	7	24	19	44
9	Puerto Nuevo	31	9	11	11	28	35	38
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	31	9	9	13	25	31	36
11	JJ Urquiza	31	6	14	11	19	26	32
12	Deportivo Paraguayo	31	7	11	13	23	39	32
13	Club Leandro N. Alem	31	8	7	16	30	56	31
14	Argentino de Rosario	31	4	15	12	30	41	27

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Berazategui	0-2 L	3-2 W
Victoriano Arenas	1-1 D	1-1 D
Centro Espanol	0-2 L	2-0 W
JJ Urquiza	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Juventud Unida San Miguel (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

LWWLDLDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	10	D
26/09	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
20/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
12/09	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
06/09	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
30/08	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
24/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
15/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	3	9	W
08/08	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
04/08	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	1	5	L

Juventud Unida San Miguel

DWLWWLLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	3-2	2	6	W
26/09	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
19/09	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/09	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
06/09	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
30/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	4-1	4	5	W
25/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	3	0	W
22/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
18/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
09/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 35%, draw 36%, Juventud Unida San Miguel 29%.

How many goals are expected in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.04 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.