Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 06/09, 16:00
Prediction: Berazategui vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Team pages: Berazategui · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Berazategui0.82
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1
1X2
Berazategui
Draw
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Berazategui
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Berazategui
0–1–0
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
(1 last)
- Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0-0Berazategui
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Berazategui 1475 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1520
| Berazategui | Draw | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 35% | 37% |
| Market | 30% | 30% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn (rating 1475 vs 1520).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Berazategui | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Berazategui 0–1–0 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Berazategui |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 45 |
| 2 | CA Lugano | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 40 |
| 3 | Centro Espanol | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 23 | 39 |
| 4 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 39 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 38 |
| 6 | Berazategui | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 38 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 36 |
| 9 | Club Mercedes | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 22 | 36 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 28 | 32 |
| 11 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 45 | 27 |
| 12 | JJ Urquiza | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 24 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 24 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Berazategui | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
|---|---|---|
| Victoriano Arenas | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Centro Espanol | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| JJ Urquiza | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Club Mercedes | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Paraguayo | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berazategui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 04/08 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/08 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berazategui vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win (39%). Probabilities: Berazategui 29%, draw 32%, Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 39%.
How many goals are expected in Berazategui vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Berazategui 0.82 · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Berazategui vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.