Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 12/09, 20:00

Prediction: Central Ballester vs Puerto Nuevo

Team pages: Central Ballester · Puerto Nuevo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.76Total

Central Ballester0.9

Puerto Nuevo0.86

1X2

34% 34% 32%

Central Ballester Draw Puerto Nuevo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Central Ballester 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWDDWW

Puerto Nuevo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDDLWL

Head-to-head

Central Ballester 1–3–2 Puerto Nuevo (6 last)

Puerto Nuevo0-0Central Ballester
Puerto Nuevo0-2Central Ballester
Central Ballester0-2Puerto Nuevo
Puerto Nuevo0-0Central Ballester
Puerto Nuevo4-0Central Ballester
Central Ballester0-0Puerto Nuevo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Ballester 1550 · Puerto Nuevo 1490

	Central Ballester	Draw	Puerto Nuevo
Our model	33%	36%	31%
Market	35%	32%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Central Ballester (rating 1550 vs 1490).
H2H favours Puerto Nuevo: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central Ballester	Puerto Nuevo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.6 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.1	1.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	5.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X2.80

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:49 +4’	2.55	2.80	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Ballester 1–3–2 Puerto Nuevo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	0-0 HT 0-0	Central Ballester
21/09/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	0-2 HT 0-1	Central Ballester
24/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	0-2 HT 0-1	Puerto Nuevo
23/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	0-0 HT 0-0	Central Ballester
10/11/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	4-0 HT 1-0	Central Ballester
01/08/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Central Ballester	0-0 HT 0-0	Puerto Nuevo

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	27	14	7	6	39	22	49
2	Canuelas FC	27	13	9	5	32	20	48
3	Leones de Rosario	27	11	10	6	26	22	43
4	Deportivo Espanol	27	9	14	4	20	14	41
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	27	10	9	8	26	21	39
6	Sportivo Barracas	27	11	5	11	31	26	38
7	General Lamadrid	27	9	10	8	22	25	37
8	CA Atlas	27	9	9	9	22	22	36
9	Central Ballester	27	9	7	11	26	27	34
10	Yupanqui	27	8	9	10	31	31	33
11	El Porvenir	27	6	15	6	22	25	33
12	Fenix	27	6	9	12	19	27	27
13	CA Claypole	27	6	8	13	19	35	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	27	4	10	13	17	32	22

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central Ballester	Puerto Nuevo
Yupanqui	2-0 W	2-2 D
Club Leandro N. Alem	3-0 W	3-0 W
Fenix	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Ballester

WWLDLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
15/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	8	8	W
10/08	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-3	6	2	L
04/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	9	D
26/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-3	5	4	L
12/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
04/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	7	6	W

Puerto Nuevo

WWLDWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
30/08	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	3-0	0	4	W
23/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	9	L
14/08	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	2	3	D
09/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
31/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
23/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
17/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
05/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
28/06	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	2	11	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Ballester vs Puerto Nuevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Ballester win (34%). Probabilities: Central Ballester 34%, draw 34%, Puerto Nuevo 32%.

How many goals are expected in Central Ballester vs Puerto Nuevo?

The model expects 1.76 goals (Central Ballester 0.9 · Puerto Nuevo 0.86), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Ballester vs Puerto Nuevo?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.