Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 22/08, 20:00
Prediction: Club Mercedes vs Sacachispas
Team pages: Club Mercedes · Sacachispas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.59Total
Club Mercedes0.74
Sacachispas0.85
1X2
Club Mercedes
Draw
Sacachispas
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club Mercedes
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Sacachispas
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Mercedes
0–1–0
Sacachispas
(1 last)
- Sacachispas0-0Club Mercedes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Mercedes 1516 · Sacachispas 1542
| Club Mercedes | Draw | Sacachispas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 38% | 34% |
| Market | 30% | 34% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.59 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 13 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Mercedes | Sacachispas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.7 | 3.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.3 | 7.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Mercedes 0–1–0 Sacachispas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sacachispas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Mercedes |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 38 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 36 |
| 5 | Centro Espanol | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 35 |
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 35 |
| 7 | Club Mercedes | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 15 | 33 |
| 8 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 32 |
| 9 | Victoriano Arenas | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 39 | 27 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 25 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 24 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 21 |
| 13 | JJ Urquiza | 24 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 21 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 30 | 20 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Mercedes | Sacachispas |
|---|---|---|
| Argentino de Rosario | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CA Lugano | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sacachispas (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Mercedes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/07 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 27/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
4-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
Sacachispas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/08 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 31/07 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 27/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 15/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 13 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Club Mercedes 29%, draw 36%, Sacachispas 35%.
How many goals are expected in Club Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
The model expects 1.59 goals (Club Mercedes 0.74 · Sacachispas 0.85), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.