Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 22/08, 20:00
Prediction: Yupanqui vs CA Atlas
Team pages: Yupanqui · CA Atlas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Yupanqui1.07
CA Atlas1.07
1X2
Yupanqui
Draw
CA Atlas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yupanqui
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
CA Atlas
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yupanqui
2–2–2
CA Atlas
(6 last)
- CA Atlas1-0Yupanqui
- Yupanqui1-2CA Atlas
- CA Atlas1-4Yupanqui
- Yupanqui4-3CA Atlas
- CA Atlas1-1Yupanqui
- Yupanqui0-0CA Atlas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yupanqui 1478 · CA Atlas 1549
| Yupanqui | Draw | CA Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 31% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Atlas (rating 1478 vs 1549).
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yupanqui | CA Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yupanqui 2–2–2 CA Atlas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Yupanqui |
| 24/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CA Atlas |
| 11/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Yupanqui |
| 26/10/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 4-3 HT 2-1 | CA Atlas |
| 26/05/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Yupanqui |
| 08/07/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 45 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | General Lamadrid | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Sportivo Barracas | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 23 | 34 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 34 |
| 6 | Leones de Rosario | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 34 |
| 7 | Yupanqui | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 33 |
| 8 | CA Atlas | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 32 |
| 9 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 30 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 24 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 29 |
| 11 | Central Ballester | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 27 | 26 |
| 12 | Fenix | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 26 |
| 13 | CA Claypole | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 25 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yupanqui | CA Atlas |
|---|---|---|
| El Porvenir | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Canuelas FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Fenix | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Argentino de Rosario | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Muniz | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Espanol | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Atlas (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yupanqui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 06/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
CA Atlas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 30/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yupanqui vs CA Atlas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yupanqui win (34%). Probabilities: Yupanqui 34%, draw 32%, CA Atlas 34%.
How many goals are expected in Yupanqui vs CA Atlas?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Yupanqui 1.07 · CA Atlas 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Yupanqui vs CA Atlas?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.