Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 06/09, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Espanol vs Fenix

Team pages: Deportivo Espanol · Fenix

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.61Total

Deportivo Espanol1.09

Fenix0.53

1X2

50% 31% 19%

Deportivo Espanol Draw Fenix

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

0-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Espanol 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDDDDW

Fenix 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDDWDDL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Espanol 1–2–3 Fenix (6 last)

Fenix1-0Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol0-3Fenix
Fenix1-2Deportivo Espanol
Fenix2-0Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol1-1Fenix
Fenix1-1Deportivo Espanol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Espanol 1541 · Fenix 1526

	Deportivo Espanol	Draw	Fenix
Our model	48%	35%	17%
Market	52%	28%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 1.61 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fenix: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Espanol	Fenix
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.3	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	1.7 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.20

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.02

2 (+0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.00 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:29 +12’	1.70	3.00	5.00
17:55 +12’	1.70	3.20▲	4.33▼
07:34 +17’	1.70	3.25▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Espanol 1–2–3 Fenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Fenix	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Espanol
07/04/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	0-3 HT 0-0	Fenix
27/10/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Fenix	1-2 HT 0-2	Deportivo Espanol
13/04/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Fenix	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Espanol
26/11/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Espanol	1-1 HT 0-1	Fenix
12/06/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Fenix	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Espanol

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	26	14	7	5	37	19	49
2	Canuelas FC	26	12	9	5	29	18	45
3	Leones de Rosario	27	11	10	6	26	22	43
4	Deportivo Espanol	26	8	14	4	19	14	38
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	26	9	9	8	24	21	36
6	General Lamadrid	26	9	9	8	22	25	36
7	Sportivo Barracas	26	10	5	11	29	26	35
8	CA Atlas	26	9	8	9	22	22	35
9	Yupanqui	27	8	9	10	31	31	33
10	El Porvenir	26	6	15	5	22	23	33
11	Central Ballester	26	8	7	11	25	27	31
12	Fenix	26	6	9	11	19	26	27
13	CA Claypole	26	6	8	12	19	34	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	26	4	10	12	17	30	22

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Espanol	Fenix
Sportivo Barracas	1-0 W	2-1 W
Lujan	0-0 D	1-2 L
General Lamadrid	0-0 D	3-1 W
Yupanqui	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Espanol (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Espanol

WDLWWDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/08	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
17/08	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
07/08	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
31/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
25/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
17/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
11/07	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
06/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
27/06	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	9	8	W

Fenix

WLWWDDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
24/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
16/08	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
10/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
04/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
17/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
13/07	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
05/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	3	6	L
29/06	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	2	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Espanol vs Fenix?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Espanol win (50%). Probabilities: Deportivo Espanol 50%, draw 31%, Fenix 19%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Espanol vs Fenix?

The model expects 1.61 goals (Deportivo Espanol 1.09 · Fenix 0.53), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Espanol vs Fenix?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.