Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/07, 20:00

Prediction: Victoriano Arenas vs JJ Urquiza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.65Total

Victoriano Arenas0.97

JJ Urquiza0.68

1X2

41% 35% 24%

Victoriano Arenas Draw JJ Urquiza

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 50% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Victoriano Arenas 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDWDLDDL

JJ Urquiza 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDLDDW

Head-to-head

Victoriano Arenas 0–1–4 JJ Urquiza (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Victoriano Arenas 1502 · JJ Urquiza 1473

	Victoriano Arenas	Draw	JJ Urquiza
Our model	40%	37%	23%
Market	41%	34%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 1.65 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JJ Urquiza: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Victoriano Arenas	JJ Urquiza
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.7	1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	5.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.63

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.752.00

Under 1.751.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.5

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:03 +11’	2.15	2.63	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Victoriano Arenas 0–1–4 JJ Urquiza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	1-0 HT 1-0	Victoriano Arenas
29/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	1-0 HT 0-0	Victoriano Arenas
27/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	1-2 HT 0-1	JJ Urquiza
17/09/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Victoriano Arenas	1-1 HT 1-1	JJ Urquiza
07/05/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	3-0 HT 1-0	Victoriano Arenas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	19	10	4	5	24	14	34
2	Berazategui	19	8	8	3	23	14	32
3	Centro Espanol	19	8	6	5	26	17	30
4	Club Mercedes	20	7	8	5	21	11	29
5	CA Lugano	20	7	8	5	24	19	29
6	Puerto Nuevo	20	7	8	5	18	19	29
7	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	19	7	7	5	21	17	28
8	Victoriano Arenas	20	6	9	5	17	13	27
9	Club Leandro N. Alem	20	7	5	8	24	33	26
10	Juventud Unida San Miguel	19	5	7	7	18	19	22
11	Defensores de Cambaceres	20	5	7	8	15	21	22
12	JJ Urquiza	20	3	10	7	9	18	19
13	Argentino de Rosario	20	2	11	7	19	26	17
14	Deportivo Paraguayo	19	3	7	9	10	25	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Victoriano Arenas	JJ Urquiza
Club Mercedes	1-1 D	0-5 L
Deportivo Paraguayo	0-0 D	0-0 D
Puerto Nuevo	1-2 L	0-1 L
Club Leandro N. Alem	0-0 D	0-2 L
Defensores de Cambaceres	1-0 W	0-1 L
Juventud Unida San Miguel	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Victoriano Arenas (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Victoriano Arenas

DDWDWDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/07	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
05/07	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	11	6	D
28/06	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	6	10	L
13/06	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
07/06	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
31/05	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	9	4	D
25/05	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
17/05	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
09/05	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	5	5	D

JJ Urquiza

WLLLLDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
12/07	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
04/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
27/06	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-4	0-5	3	6	L
13/06	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
06/06	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
31/05	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	4	9	L
23/05	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
16/05	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	10	L
09/05	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Victoriano Arenas vs JJ Urquiza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Victoriano Arenas win (41%). Probabilities: Victoriano Arenas 41%, draw 35%, JJ Urquiza 24%.

How many goals are expected in Victoriano Arenas vs JJ Urquiza?

The model expects 1.65 goals (Victoriano Arenas 0.97 · JJ Urquiza 0.68), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Victoriano Arenas vs JJ Urquiza?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.