Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/07, 20:00
Prediction: Canuelas FC vs Deportivo Muniz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Canuelas FC1.27
Deportivo Muniz0.69
1X2
Canuelas FC
Draw
Deportivo Muniz
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Canuelas FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Muniz
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Canuelas FC
0–1–0
Deportivo Muniz
(1 last)
- Deportivo Muniz1-1Canuelas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Canuelas FC 1570 · Deportivo Muniz 1479
| Canuelas FC | Draw | Deportivo Muniz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| Market | 50% | 30% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1570 vs 1479).
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Canuelas FC | Deportivo Muniz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canuelas FC 0–1–0 Deportivo Muniz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Muniz | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Canuelas FC |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 33 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 28 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 21 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 20 |
| 13 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canuelas FC | Deportivo Muniz |
|---|---|---|
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Espanol | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CA Claypole | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Central Ballester | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| El Porvenir | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Fenix | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo Barracas | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Canuelas FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canuelas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 05/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Deportivo Muniz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 25/05 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canuelas FC vs Deportivo Muniz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Canuelas FC win (50%). Probabilities: Canuelas FC 50%, draw 31%, Deportivo Muniz 20%.
How many goals are expected in Canuelas FC vs Deportivo Muniz?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Canuelas FC 1.27 · Deportivo Muniz 0.69), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Canuelas FC vs Deportivo Muniz?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.