Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/09, 22:00
Prediction: Tristan Suarez vs San Martin de Tucuman
Team pages: Tristan Suarez · San Martin de Tucuman
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Tristan Suarez1.06
San Martin de Tucuman0.77
1X2
Tristan Suarez
Draw
San Martin de Tucuman
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Suarez
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
San Martin de Tucuman
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Suarez
0–4–2
San Martin de Tucuman
(6 last)
- San Martin de Tucuman0-0Tristan Suarez
- San Martin de Tucuman1-1Tristan Suarez
- Tristan Suarez0-0San Martin de Tucuman
- San Martin de Tucuman1-0Tristan Suarez
- Tristan Suarez0-0San Martin de Tucuman
- San Martin de Tucuman1-0Tristan Suarez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Suarez 1555 · San Martin de Tucuman 1502
| Tristan Suarez | Draw | San Martin de Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 35% | 25% |
| Market | 41% | 34% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.83 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Suarez (rating 1555 vs 1502).
- H2H favours San Martin de Tucuman: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tristan Suarez | San Martin de Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 5.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Suarez 0–4–2 San Martin de Tucuman
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 19/07/25 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Tristan Suarez |
| 15/03/25 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 29/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 11/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 23/05/22 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tristan Suarez |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 43 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 42 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 19 | 41 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 41 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 39 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 35 |
| 11 | CA Colegiales | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 34 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 32 |
| 13 | Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 31 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 27 | 29 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 29 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 26 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 29 | 28 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 29 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tristan Suarez | San Martin de Tucuman |
|---|---|---|
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Nueva Chicago | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Almagro | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tristan Suarez (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Suarez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
San Martin de Tucuman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 17/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Suarez vs San Martin de Tucuman?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tristan Suarez win (41%). Probabilities: Tristan Suarez 41%, draw 34%, San Martin de Tucuman 25%.
How many goals are expected in Tristan Suarez vs San Martin de Tucuman?
The model expects 1.83 goals (Tristan Suarez 1.06 · San Martin de Tucuman 0.77), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tristan Suarez vs San Martin de Tucuman?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.