Football · Argentina Nacional B · 19/09, 20:30

Prediction: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Team pages: Ferro Carril Oeste · Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Ferro Carril Oeste1.77

Club Ciudad de Bolivar0.88

1X2

57% 25% 17%

Ferro Carril Oeste Draw Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Ferro Carril Oeste 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWDD

Club Ciudad de Bolivar 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLDWLD

Head-to-head

Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Club Ciudad de Bolivar (1 last)

Club Ciudad de Bolivar2-4Ferro Carril Oeste

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferro Carril Oeste (rating 1540 vs 1462).
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ferro Carril Oeste	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	0.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	2.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.5	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.78

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.68▲	Pinn 1.68
X	3.29 → 3.32▲	Pinn 3.32
2	5.58 → 5.69▲	Pinn 5.69

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:44 +9’	1.67	3.29	5.58
21:45 +22’	1.68▲	3.32▲	5.69▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0–0 Club Ciudad de Bolivar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	2-4 HT 1-1	Ferro Carril Oeste

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	28	16	6	6	34	25	54
2	Deportivo Moron	28	15	7	6	45	26	52
3	Deportivo Madryn	28	12	10	6	41	26	46
4	Godoy Cruz	28	13	7	8	34	25	46
5	Colon	28	12	9	7	35	23	45
6	Almirante Brown	28	12	9	7	23	16	45
7	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	29	9	12	8	24	26	39
8	Los Andes	29	8	13	8	22	17	37
9	CA Estudiantes Caseros	28	9	9	10	25	25	36
10	Racing de Cordoba	28	9	8	11	25	32	35
11	CA Chaco For Ever	28	8	8	12	26	29	32
12	Club Atletico Mitre	28	6	13	9	27	35	31
13	Central Norte	29	6	13	10	19	27	31
14	All Boys	29	6	13	10	16	25	31
15	CA San Telmo	29	7	10	12	23	33	31
16	Defensores de Belgrano	28	6	12	10	20	25	30
17	CA San Miguel	29	6	12	11	23	33	30
18	Acassuso	28	5	8	15	19	33	23

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ferro Carril Oeste	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Club Atletico Mitre	0-0 D	0-2 L
CA Estudiantes Caseros	2-2 D	2-1 W
All Boys	1-0 W	0-0 D
Los Andes	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferro Carril Oeste

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
30/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
25/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
15/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-1	4	0	W
09/08	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
01/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-3	7	4	L
26/07	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-4	5	7	L
18/07	Colon Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	3	9	W
11/07	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	1	8	W
05/07	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	5	3	W

Club Ciudad de Bolivar

LDWLLLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
06/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-3	3	10	L
29/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
23/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
15/08	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	8	10	L
08/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	6	L
25/07	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	2-1	2-1	1	7	W
18/07	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
11/07	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-3	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferro Carril Oeste win (57%). Probabilities: Ferro Carril Oeste 57%, draw 25%, Club Ciudad de Bolivar 17%.

How many goals are expected in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Ferro Carril Oeste 1.77 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 0.88), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.