Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 21/08, 19:00

Prediction: Sirius vs BK Hacken

Team pages: Sirius · BK Hacken

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Sirius2.2
BK Hacken1.41
1X2
54% 23% 23%
Sirius Draw BK Hacken
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sirius 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWDDWWWWDL
BK Hacken 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLLLWDDL
Head-to-head
Sirius 2–2–2 BK Hacken (6 last)
  • BK Hacken2-2Sirius
  • BK Hacken1-1Sirius
  • Sirius2-0BK Hacken
  • BK Hacken0-2Sirius
  • BK Hacken2-0Sirius
  • Sirius0-3BK Hacken
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sirius 1562 · BK Hacken 1484
SiriusDrawBK Hacken
Our model55%22%23%
Market54%23%23%
Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sirius (rating 1562 vs 1484).
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SiriusBK Hacken
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.51.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.50.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 6.72.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.13 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sirius 222 BK Hacken

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/04/26
Sweden Allsvenskan
BK Hacken2-2
HT 2-1
Sirius
18/10/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
BK Hacken1-1
HT 1-1
Sirius
10/05/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Sirius2-0
HT 1-0
BK Hacken
01/03/25
Sweden Cup
BK Hacken0-2
HT 0-2
Sirius
29/09/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
BK Hacken2-0
HT 0-0
Sirius
04/05/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Sirius0-3
HT 0-3
BK Hacken

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 171331 472342
2 Hammarby 16934 361530
3 Elfsborg 17764 241827
4 Djurgarden 15825 331626
5 BK Hacken 16673 282625
6 AIK 16745 222425
7 Vasteras SK 17746 253225
8 GAIS 16655 211523
9 Malmo FF 16727 312723
10 Mjällby AIF 16556 242320
11 IFK Goteborg 16547 223519
12 Kalmar FF 16538 212418
13 Brommapojkarna 16466 222618
14 Degerfors 16349 142713
15 Orgryte IS 16349 203713
16 Halmstad 161411 11337

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSiriusBK Hacken
Mjällby AIF 3-4 L 1-0 W
Halmstad 2-0 W 2-0 W
Elfsborg 3-1 W 1-1 D
Djurgarden 1-1 D 2-4 L
AIK 3-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sirius (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sirius

WWDDWWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-0 3-4 85 L
10/08 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-2 2-2 84 D
03/08 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-0 2-0 101 W
26/07 IFK Goteborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-1 4-1 45 W
19/07 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 3-1 45 W
12/07 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-0 2-1 71 W
03/07 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 4-4 91 D
26/06 Djurgarden
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
30/05 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-0 3-0 37 W
24/05 GAIS
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-1 2-1 74 W

BK Hacken

WDWLLLWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-2 0-3 22 L
01/08 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 1-1 53 D
27/07 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-0 53 D
19/07 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 2-0 32 W
11/07 Orgryte IS
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-1 3-4 84 L
06/07 Djurgarden
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-2 2-4 74 L
24/06 Hammarby
Club Friendly List
1-3 1-4 60 L
31/05 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-2 3-2 75 W
25/05 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-1 64 D
17/05 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-0 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sirius vs BK Hacken?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sirius win (54%). Probabilities: Sirius 54%, draw 23%, BK Hacken 23%.

How many goals are expected in Sirius vs BK Hacken?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Sirius 2.2 · BK Hacken 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sirius vs BK Hacken?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.