Football · Sweden Superettan · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Ostersunds FK vs Nordic United FC

Team pages: Ostersunds FK · Nordic United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Ostersunds FK1.5

Nordic United FC0.76

1X2

54% 29% 18%

Ostersunds FK Draw Nordic United FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Ostersunds FK 3-7-0 (W-D-L)

WDDDWDWDDD

Nordic United FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWLDLL

Head-to-head

Ostersunds FK 0–1–0 Nordic United FC (1 last)

Nordic United FC1-1Ostersunds FK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ostersunds FK (rating 1538 vs 1481).
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ostersunds FK	Nordic United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7	2.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.89

Under 2.751.89

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:44

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.25 → 4.25	Pinn 4.25
2	6.06 → 6.06	Pinn 6.06

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +30’	1.50	4.25	6.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ostersunds FK 0–1–0 Nordic United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/06/26 Sweden Superettan	Nordic United FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Ostersunds FK

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	26	18	4	4	52	16	58
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	15	6	6	52	37	51
3	Varbergs BoIS FC	26	13	6	7	45	34	45
4	Ostersunds FK	27	11	12	4	34	25	45
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	12	7	8	45	32	43
6	IK Oddevold	27	10	9	8	41	37	39
7	Osters IF	27	12	3	12	41	41	39
8	Nordic United FC	27	10	9	8	40	43	39
9	Sandvikens IF	27	10	8	9	45	36	38
10	IFK Varnamo	27	9	5	13	35	47	32
11	Helsingborg	26	8	6	12	36	47	30
12	Ljungskile	27	7	8	12	34	39	29
13	Norrby IF	27	5	12	10	31	37	27
14	IK Brage	27	6	8	13	41	50	26
15	Orebro SK	26	5	10	11	28	40	25
16	GIF Sundsvall	27	6	1	20	19	58	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ostersunds FK	Nordic United FC
Varbergs BoIS FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Falkenbergs FF	0-0 D	1-1 D
IK Brage	1-1 D	2-1 W
Orebro SK	1-0 W	1-1 D
Landskrona BoIS	1-1 D	1-4 L
Ljungskile	0-0 D	2-2 D
IFK Varnamo	1-1 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 6 D 0 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ostersunds FK (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ostersunds FK

WDDDWDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
10/10	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
14/09	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
10/09	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	14	1	D
07/09	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
29/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
24/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
16/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
07/08	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	5	4	W

Nordic United FC

DDDWLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
19/09	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-4	4	4	L
14/09	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
09/09	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-4	4	3	L
04/09	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
29/08	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-3	15	4	L
23/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	8	3	W
15/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
08/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
02/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ostersunds FK vs Nordic United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ostersunds FK win (54%). Probabilities: Ostersunds FK 54%, draw 29%, Nordic United FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Ostersunds FK vs Nordic United FC?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Ostersunds FK 1.5 · Nordic United FC 0.76), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ostersunds FK vs Nordic United FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.