Football · Sweden Superettan · 02/11, 19:05

Prediction: Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK

Team pages: Landskrona BoIS · Orebro SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Landskrona BoIS1.82

Orebro SK1.32

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Landskrona BoIS Draw Orebro SK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Landskrona BoIS 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWWWLD

Orebro SK 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLWDLDDW

Head-to-head

Landskrona BoIS 2–1–3 Orebro SK (6 last)

Orebro SK1-0Landskrona BoIS
Orebro SK1-2Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS1-0Orebro SK
Orebro SK1-0Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS0-0Orebro SK
Orebro SK4-0Landskrona BoIS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Landskrona BoIS 1526 · Orebro SK 1539

	Landskrona BoIS	Draw	Orebro SK
Our model	48%	25%	27%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orebro SK: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Landskrona BoIS	Orebro SK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.1	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.85▼	Bet365 1.85
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.02
2	3.20 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.90 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:20 +9’	1.91	3.60	3.20
23:35 +5’	1.85▼	3.60	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +13’	1.81	3.91	3.74
21:49 +3’	1.83▲	3.96▲	3.77▲
08:08 +17’	1.78▼	4.02▲	3.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Landskrona BoIS 2–1–3 Orebro SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	1-0 HT 0-0	Landskrona BoIS
26/10/25 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	1-2 HT 1-1	Landskrona BoIS
22/06/25 Sweden Superettan	Landskrona BoIS	1-0 HT 0-0	Orebro SK
28/09/24 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	1-0 HT 0-0	Landskrona BoIS
19/05/24 Sweden Superettan	Landskrona BoIS	0-0 HT 0-0	Orebro SK
04/11/23 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	4-0 HT 1-0	Landskrona BoIS

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	28	19	5	4	58	18	62
2	Falkenbergs FF	28	15	6	7	52	38	51
3	Ostersunds FK	28	12	12	4	38	26	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	28	13	8	7	46	35	47
5	Landskrona BoIS	28	12	8	8	46	33	44
6	IK Oddevold	28	11	9	8	48	37	42
7	Osters IF	28	13	3	12	46	45	42
8	Sandvikens IF	28	11	8	9	46	36	41
9	Nordic United FC	28	10	9	9	41	47	39
10	Helsingborg	28	8	8	12	37	48	32
11	IFK Varnamo	28	9	5	14	35	48	32
12	Ljungskile	28	7	9	12	35	40	30
13	Orebro SK	28	6	11	11	31	42	29
14	Norrby IF	28	5	12	11	31	41	27
15	IK Brage	28	6	8	14	45	55	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	6	1	21	19	65	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Landskrona BoIS	Orebro SK
Varbergs BoIS FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Falkenbergs FF	3-4 L	1-0 W
Sandvikens IF	3-2 W	2-4 L
Nordic United FC	4-1 W	1-1 D
GIF Sundsvall	4-0 W	3-0 W
Helsingborg	1-2 L	1-1 D
Ostersunds FK	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Landskrona BoIS (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Landskrona BoIS

DDDWLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
17/10	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-4	3-4	12	3	L
10/10	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-2	7	3	W
19/09	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	2-0	4-1	1	4	W
15/09	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	3-0	4-0	9	0	W
09/09	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-2	5	7	L
05/09	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-1	11	5	W
29/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
24/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
14/08	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	7	1	D

Orebro SK

DWDLWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
20/10	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
11/10	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
19/09	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-1	2-4	6	6	L
14/09	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	9	7	D
10/09	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
07/09	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
01/09	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
25/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
14/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-3	10	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Landskrona BoIS win (48%). Probabilities: Landskrona BoIS 48%, draw 25%, Orebro SK 27%.

How many goals are expected in Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Landskrona BoIS 1.82 · Orebro SK 1.32), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.