Football · Sweden Superettan · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo

Team pages: Norrby IF · IFK Varnamo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Norrby IF1.38

IFK Varnamo1.46

1X2

35% 27% 38%

Norrby IF Draw IFK Varnamo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Norrby IF 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLDWLL

IFK Varnamo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWLWLWL

Head-to-head

Norrby IF 4–2–0 IFK Varnamo (6 last)

IFK Varnamo2-2Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo1-2Norrby IF
Norrby IF2-0IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF6-1IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF2-1IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo0-0Norrby IF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Varnamo (rating 1452 vs 1519).
H2H favours Norrby IF: 4-2-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Norrby IF	IFK Varnamo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.7	3.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:54

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.45
X	3.61 → 3.61	Pinn 3.61
2	2.64 → 2.64	Pinn 2.64

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:12 +42’	2.45	3.61	2.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Norrby IF 4–2–0 IFK Varnamo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Sweden Superettan	IFK Varnamo	2-2 HT 0-0	Norrby IF
27/11/21 Sweden Superettan	IFK Varnamo	1-2 HT 1-1	Norrby IF
19/06/21 Sweden Superettan	Norrby IF	2-0 HT 2-0	IFK Varnamo
07/03/20 Europe Friendlies	Norrby IF	6-1 HT 3-0	IFK Varnamo
24/09/18 Sweden Superettan	Norrby IF	2-1 HT 0-1	IFK Varnamo
07/05/18 Sweden Superettan	IFK Varnamo	0-0 HT 0-0	Norrby IF

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	28	19	5	4	58	18	62
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	15	6	6	52	37	51
3	Ostersunds FK	28	12	12	4	38	26	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	27	13	7	7	45	34	46
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	12	7	8	45	32	43
6	IK Oddevold	28	11	9	8	48	37	42
7	Osters IF	28	13	3	12	46	45	42
8	Sandvikens IF	28	11	8	9	46	36	41
9	Nordic United FC	28	10	9	9	41	47	39
10	Helsingborg	28	8	8	12	37	48	32
11	IFK Varnamo	28	9	5	14	35	48	32
12	Ljungskile	28	7	9	12	35	40	30
13	Norrby IF	28	5	12	11	31	41	27
14	IK Brage	28	6	8	14	45	55	26
15	Orebro SK	27	5	11	11	30	42	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	6	1	21	19	65	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Norrby IF	IFK Varnamo
Nordic United FC	1-2 L	4-2 W
Osters IF	2-0 W	1-3 L
Varbergs BoIS FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Ljungskile	1-2 L	1-0 W
Landskrona BoIS	1-3 L	1-1 D
GIF Sundsvall	0-1 L	1-0 W
Sandvikens IF	1-1 D	0-1 L
Falkenbergs FF	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Varnamo (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Norrby IF

LDLLLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-4	4	4	L
18/10	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
10/10	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
20/09	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
14/09	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-2	12	2	L
09/09	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
05/09	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-3	8	5	L
31/08	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
23/08	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
15/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	5	2	L

IFK Varnamo

DDWDWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
18/10	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
11/10	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
15/09	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-3	11	1	L
09/09	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	1-0	4-2	8	3	W
05/09	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	12	0	D
29/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
24/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
16/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Varnamo win (38%). Probabilities: Norrby IF 35%, draw 27%, IFK Varnamo 38%.

How many goals are expected in Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Norrby IF 1.38 · IFK Varnamo 1.46), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.