Football · Sweden Superettan · 01/11, 13:00
Prediction: Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile
Team pages: Varbergs BoIS FC · Ljungskile
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Varbergs BoIS FC1.56
Ljungskile1.17
1X2
Varbergs BoIS FC
Draw
Ljungskile
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Varbergs BoIS FC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Ljungskile
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Varbergs BoIS FC
4–2–0
Ljungskile
(6 last)
- Ljungskile1-3Varbergs BoIS FC
- Ljungskile0-4Varbergs BoIS FC
- Varbergs BoIS FC2-1Ljungskile
- Ljungskile0-1Varbergs BoIS FC
- Ljungskile1-1Varbergs BoIS FC
- Varbergs BoIS FC1-1Ljungskile
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Varbergs BoIS FC 1543 · Ljungskile 1474
| Varbergs BoIS FC | Draw | Ljungskile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Varbergs BoIS FC (rating 1543 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Varbergs BoIS FC: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Varbergs BoIS FC | Ljungskile | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 6.6 | 1.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varbergs BoIS FC 4–2–0 Ljungskile
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Sweden Superettan | Ljungskile | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| 31/08/22 Sweden Cup Qualification | Ljungskile | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| 29/10/16 Sweden Superettan | Varbergs BoIS FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Ljungskile |
| 27/06/16 Sweden Superettan | Ljungskile | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| 19/09/15 Sweden Superettan | Ljungskile | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| 20/05/15 Sweden Superettan | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Ljungskile |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 18 | 62 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 38 | 51 |
| 3 | Ostersunds FK | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 38 | 26 | 48 |
| 4 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 35 | 47 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 44 |
| 6 | IK Oddevold | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 37 | 42 |
| 7 | Osters IF | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 45 | 42 |
| 8 | Sandvikens IF | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 41 |
| 9 | Nordic United FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 47 | 39 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 48 | 32 |
| 11 | IFK Varnamo | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 48 | 32 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 40 | 30 |
| 13 | Orebro SK | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 42 | 29 |
| 14 | Norrby IF | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 31 | 41 | 27 |
| 15 | IK Brage | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 55 | 26 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 28 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 19 | 65 | 19 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Varbergs BoIS FC | Ljungskile |
|---|---|---|
| Helsingborg | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Ostersunds FK | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| IK Brage | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Norrby IF | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| IFK Norrkoping | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| IFK Varnamo | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Orebro SK | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ljungskile (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varbergs BoIS FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/10 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/09 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 30/08 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
Ljungskile
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/10 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/09 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Varbergs BoIS FC win (46%). Probabilities: Varbergs BoIS FC 46%, draw 27%, Ljungskile 28%.
How many goals are expected in Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Varbergs BoIS FC 1.56 · Ljungskile 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.