Football · Sweden Superettan · 18/07, 13:00
Prediction: IK Oddevold vs Varbergs BoIS FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
IK Oddevold1.45
Varbergs BoIS FC1.36
1X2
IK Oddevold
Draw
Varbergs BoIS FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IK Oddevold
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Varbergs BoIS FC
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IK Oddevold
2–2–2
Varbergs BoIS FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IK Oddevold 1528 · Varbergs BoIS FC 1567
| IK Oddevold | Draw | Varbergs BoIS FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IK Oddevold | Varbergs BoIS FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Oddevold 2–2–2 Varbergs BoIS FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Club Friendly List | Varbergs BoIS FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | IK Oddevold |
| 28/09/25 Sweden Superettan | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | IK Oddevold |
| 22/06/25 Sweden Superettan | IK Oddevold | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| 14/09/24 Sweden Superettan | IK Oddevold | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| 23/05/24 Sweden Superettan | Varbergs BoIS FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | IK Oddevold |
| 28/03/18 Europe Friendlies | Varbergs BoIS FC | 4-1 HT 3-1 | IK Oddevold |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkenbergs FF | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | IFK Norrkoping | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Landskrona BoIS | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | Ostersunds FK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 22 |
| 6 | Nordic United FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| 7 | IK Oddevold | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 20 |
| 8 | Osters IF | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 20 |
| 9 | Helsingborg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 20 |
| 10 | Sandvikens IF | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 19 |
| 11 | IK Brage | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 15 | IFK Varnamo | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 10 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IK Oddevold | Varbergs BoIS FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ljungskile | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Norrby IF | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| IFK Norrkoping | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Falkenbergs FF | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Helsingborg | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Landskrona BoIS | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| GIF Sundsvall | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IK Oddevold
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 22/06 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 09/06 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Varbergs BoIS FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Norrby IF Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/06 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 15/06 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IK Oddevold vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Oddevold win (38%). Probabilities: IK Oddevold 38%, draw 28%, Varbergs BoIS FC 34%.
How many goals are expected in IK Oddevold vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
The model expects 2.82 goals (IK Oddevold 1.45 · Varbergs BoIS FC 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IK Oddevold vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.