Football · Sweden Superettan · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage

Team pages: IFK Norrkoping · IK Brage

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

IFK Norrkoping2

IK Brage0.87

1X2

63% 23% 15%

IFK Norrkoping Draw IK Brage

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Norrkoping 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLWWW

IK Brage 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDLWLLDW

Head-to-head

IFK Norrkoping 0–2–0 IK Brage (2 last)

IK Brage0-0IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping1-1IK Brage

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1591 vs 1476).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Norrkoping	IK Brage
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.2	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.4	2.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.99

Under 3.251.81

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:24

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.61▲	Pinn 1.61
X	4.33 → 4.29▼	Pinn 4.29
2	4.79 → 4.70▼	Pinn 4.70

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:23	1.59	4.33	4.79
06:24	1.61▲	4.29▼	4.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping 0–2–0 IK Brage

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Sweden Superettan	IK Brage	0-0 HT 0-0	IFK Norrkoping
18/02/24 Sweden Cup	IFK Norrkoping	1-1 HT 0-0	IK Brage

Standings · Sweden Superettan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	17	11	2	4	29	10	35
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	17	10	3	4	34	23	33
3	Falkenbergs FF	17	9	4	4	33	26	31
4	Ostersunds FK	17	8	5	4	27	21	29
5	Nordic United FC	16	7	5	4	26	23	26
6	Osters IF	17	8	2	7	27	26	26
7	Sandvikens IF	17	7	4	6	32	23	25
8	Landskrona BoIS	17	7	4	6	23	19	25
9	Helsingborg	17	7	3	7	30	34	24
10	IK Oddevold	17	5	7	5	28	26	22
11	IK Brage	17	5	5	7	30	30	20
12	Ljungskile	16	5	4	7	21	23	19
12	Norrby IF	17	3	10	4	21	23	19
14	Orebro SK	16	3	6	7	13	22	15
15	IFK Varnamo	16	3	2	11	17	34	11
16	GIF Sundsvall	17	3	0	14	13	41	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Norrkoping	IK Brage
Landskrona BoIS	1-0 W	2-1 W
Sandvikens IF	3-0 W	2-3 L
Osters IF	2-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Norrkoping

DWWWWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
28/07	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/07	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-0	7	3	W
28/06	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
21/06	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/06	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
09/06	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	2-1	2-1	1	2	W
31/05	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
25/05	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
16/05	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

IK Brage

DLDDLWLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
25/07	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
18/07	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-3	8	7	L
26/06	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	2-1	2-4	2	2	L
21/06	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	2-1	5-1	9	4	W
14/06	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-3	8	4	L
09/06	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-2	2	7	D
30/05	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
23/05	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
16/05	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	12	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Norrkoping win (63%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping 63%, draw 23%, IK Brage 15%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage?

The model expects 2.87 goals (IFK Norrkoping 2 · IK Brage 0.87), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.