Football · Sweden Superettan · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: Nordic United FC vs Varbergs BoIS FC

Team pages: Nordic United FC · Varbergs BoIS FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Nordic United FC1.49

Varbergs BoIS FC1.4

1X2

38% 27% 34%

Nordic United FC Draw Varbergs BoIS FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nordic United FC 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

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Varbergs BoIS FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nordic United FC 0–1 Varbergs BoIS FC (1 last)

Varbergs BoIS FC4-1Nordic United FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Varbergs BoIS FC (rating 1512 vs 1554).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nordic United FC	Varbergs BoIS FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.94

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.28 → 2.28	Pinn 2.28
X	3.49 → 3.49	Pinn 3.49
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +1’	2.28	3.49	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nordic United FC 0–0–1 Varbergs BoIS FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden Superettan	Varbergs BoIS FC	4-1 HT 2-1	Nordic United FC

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	18	12	2	4	32	10	38
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	17	10	3	4	34	23	33
3	Falkenbergs FF	18	9	5	4	34	27	32
4	Ostersunds FK	18	9	5	4	28	21	32
5	Landskrona BoIS	18	8	4	6	24	19	28
6	Nordic United FC	18	7	7	4	29	26	28
7	Osters IF	18	8	2	8	27	27	26
8	Sandvikens IF	17	7	4	6	32	23	25
9	IK Oddevold	18	6	7	5	29	26	25
10	Helsingborg	17	7	3	7	30	34	24
11	IK Brage	18	5	5	8	30	33	20
12	Ljungskile	18	5	5	8	23	26	20
13	Norrby IF	17	3	10	4	21	23	19
14	Orebro SK	17	3	6	8	14	25	15
15	IFK Varnamo	17	4	2	11	20	35	14
16	GIF Sundsvall	18	3	0	15	13	42	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nordic United FC	Varbergs BoIS FC
Falkenbergs FF	1-1 D	2-1 W
Ljungskile	2-2 D	3-1 W
IK Oddevold	3-3 D	4-2 W
Norrby IF	0-0 D	4-2 W
Landskrona BoIS	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Varbergs BoIS FC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nordic United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
02/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
28/07	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
19/07	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-0	2	0	W
27/06	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-3	5	1	D
21/06	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
16/06	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-2	6	7	L
09/06	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
31/05	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
23/05	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	4	1	W

Varbergs BoIS FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
27/07	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-3	2	4	L
18/07	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	1-1	4-2	3	2	W
11/07	Norrby IF Club Friendly List	0-2	4-2	–	–	W
27/06	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
22/06	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	2-1	2-3	7	5	L
15/06	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
10/06	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
30/05	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-1	5	6	W
24/05	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nordic United FC vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nordic United FC win (38%). Probabilities: Nordic United FC 38%, draw 27%, Varbergs BoIS FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Nordic United FC vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Nordic United FC 1.49 · Varbergs BoIS FC 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nordic United FC vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.