Football · Sweden Superettan · 24/08, 19:00

Prediction: Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile

Team pages: Ostersunds FK · Ljungskile

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Ostersunds FK1.67
Ljungskile1.1
1X2
50% 26% 24%
Ostersunds FK Draw Ljungskile
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ostersunds FK 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WDDLWWDWWD
Ljungskile 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDDDWWWDLL
Head-to-head
Ostersunds FK 2–1–0 Ljungskile (3 last)
  • Ljungskile1-1Ostersunds FK
  • Ostersunds FK2-0Ljungskile
  • Ljungskile0-2Ostersunds FK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ostersunds FK 1560 · Ljungskile 1502
Ostersunds FKDrawLjungskile
Our model49%27%24%
Market50%26%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ostersunds FK (rating 1560 vs 1502).
  • H2H favours Ostersunds FK: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ostersunds FKLjungskile
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.31.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 04.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ostersunds FK 210 Ljungskile

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/26
Sweden Superettan
Ljungskile1-1
HT 0-0
Ostersunds FK
01/11/15
Sweden Superettan
Ostersunds FK2-0
HT 1-0
Ljungskile
30/05/15
Sweden Superettan
Ljungskile0-2
HT 0-1
Ostersunds FK

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IFK Norrkoping 191324 361141
2 Falkenbergs FF 191054 362735
3 Varbergs BoIS FC 191045 342434
4 Ostersunds FK 19964 292233
5 Landskrona BoIS 19856 252029
6 Nordic United FC 19784 292629
7 Osters IF 19928 302929
8 Sandvikens IF 19847 342728
9 IK Oddevold 19685 302726
10 Helsingborg 19748 323725
11 Norrby IF 194105 242622
12 IK Brage 19568 333621
13 Ljungskile 19559 252920
14 IFK Varnamo 195311 233718
15 Orebro SK 19379 183116
16 GIF Sundsvall 193115 144310

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOstersunds FKLjungskile
IFK Varnamo 1-1 D 3-2 W
Osters IF 1-0 W 2-3 L
Nordic United FC 1-1 D 2-2 D
Orebro SK 3-2 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ostersunds FK

WDDLWWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 IFK Varnamo
Sweden Superettan
0-1 1-1 64 D
07/08 GIF Sundsvall
Sweden Superettan
1-0 1-0 54 W
01/08 Osters IF
Sweden Superettan
0-0 1-0 84 W
26/07 Norrby IF
Sweden Superettan
0-1 2-2 54 D
18/07 Landskrona BoIS
Sweden Superettan
1-0 2-0 21 W
27/06 GIF Sundsvall
Sweden Superettan
0-0 2-0 33 W
21/06 IFK Norrkoping
Sweden Superettan
0-1 0-2 45 L
14/06 Ljungskile
Sweden Superettan
0-0 1-1 82 D
09/06 Nordic United FC
Sweden Superettan
1-0 1-1 54 D
31/05 Orebro SK
Sweden Superettan
1-2 3-2 73 W

Ljungskile

LDDDWWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Osters IF
Sweden Superettan
2-2 2-3 54 L
08/08 IK Oddevold
Sweden Superettan
0-0 0-1 55 L
02/08 Nordic United FC
Sweden Superettan
1-1 2-2 42 D
26/07 Sandvikens IF
Sweden Superettan
2-0 2-1 55 W
19/07 IFK Varnamo
Sweden Superettan
1-0 3-2 13 W
27/06 Orebro SK
Sweden Superettan
1-2 3-2 84 W
22/06 IK Oddevold
Sweden Superettan
0-0 0-0 75 D
14/06 Ostersunds FK
Sweden Superettan
0-0 1-1 12 D
09/06 IK Brage
Sweden Superettan
0-0 2-2 77 D
30/05 Varbergs BoIS FC
Sweden Superettan
0-2 1-3 16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ostersunds FK win (50%). Probabilities: Ostersunds FK 50%, draw 26%, Ljungskile 24%.

How many goals are expected in Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Ostersunds FK 1.67 · Ljungskile 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.