Football · Sweden Superettan · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Ostersunds FK vs Landskrona BoIS
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Ostersunds FK1.51
Landskrona BoIS1.23
1X2
Ostersunds FK
Draw
Landskrona BoIS
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ostersunds FK
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Landskrona BoIS
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ostersunds FK
3–1–2
Landskrona BoIS
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ostersunds FK 1525 · Landskrona BoIS 1581
| Ostersunds FK | Draw | Landskrona BoIS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Landskrona BoIS (rating 1525 vs 1581).
- H2H favours Ostersunds FK: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ostersunds FK | Landskrona BoIS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.7 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ostersunds FK 3–1–2 Landskrona BoIS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Sweden Superettan | Landskrona BoIS | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ostersunds FK |
| 05/04/25 Sweden Superettan | Ostersunds FK | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Landskrona BoIS |
| 19/10/24 Sweden Superettan | Ostersunds FK | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Landskrona BoIS |
| 30/06/24 Sweden Superettan | Landskrona BoIS | 4-3 HT 2-0 | Ostersunds FK |
| 02/03/24 Sweden Cup | Ostersunds FK | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Landskrona BoIS |
| 05/08/23 Sweden Superettan | Landskrona BoIS | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ostersunds FK |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkenbergs FF | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | IFK Norrkoping | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Landskrona BoIS | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | Ostersunds FK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 22 |
| 6 | Nordic United FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 22 |
| 7 | IK Oddevold | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 20 |
| 8 | Osters IF | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 20 |
| 9 | Helsingborg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 20 |
| 10 | Sandvikens IF | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 19 |
| 11 | IK Brage | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 15 | IFK Varnamo | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 10 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ostersunds FK | Landskrona BoIS |
|---|---|---|
| GIF Sundsvall | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Nordic United FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| IK Oddevold | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sandvikens IF | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| IK Brage | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Falkenbergs FF | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| IFK Varnamo | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Landskrona BoIS (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ostersunds FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/06 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
Landskrona BoIS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Falkenbergs FF Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/06 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/06 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ostersunds FK vs Landskrona BoIS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ostersunds FK win (43%). Probabilities: Ostersunds FK 43%, draw 28%, Landskrona BoIS 30%.
How many goals are expected in Ostersunds FK vs Landskrona BoIS?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Ostersunds FK 1.51 · Landskrona BoIS 1.23), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ostersunds FK vs Landskrona BoIS?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.