Football · Sweden Superettan · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF

Team pages: Falkenbergs FF · Norrby IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Falkenbergs FF1.92

Norrby IF1.22

1X2

53% 25% 23%

Falkenbergs FF Draw Norrby IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Falkenbergs FF 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLLWLD

Norrby IF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWLWDD

Head-to-head

Falkenbergs FF 3–2–1 Norrby IF (6 last)

Norrby IF2-2Falkenbergs FF
Norrby IF1-1Falkenbergs FF
Norrby IF0-1Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF0-1Norrby IF
Falkenbergs FF2-1Norrby IF
Norrby IF0-5Falkenbergs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Falkenbergs FF 1511 · Norrby IF 1492

	Falkenbergs FF	Draw	Norrby IF
Our model	53%	24%	23%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Falkenbergs FF: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Falkenbergs FF	Norrby IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	3.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.60

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +4’	1.73	3.60	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkenbergs FF 3–2–1 Norrby IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Sweden Superettan	Norrby IF	2-2 HT 2-1	Falkenbergs FF
26/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Norrby IF	1-1 HT 0-0	Falkenbergs FF
09/09/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Norrby IF	0-1 HT 0-0	Falkenbergs FF
21/04/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Falkenbergs FF	0-1 HT 0-0	Norrby IF
16/09/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Falkenbergs FF	2-1 HT 0-0	Norrby IF
21/06/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Norrby IF	0-5 HT 0-1	Falkenbergs FF

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	18	12	2	4	32	10	38
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	18	10	3	5	34	24	33
3	Falkenbergs FF	18	9	5	4	34	27	32
4	Ostersunds FK	18	9	5	4	28	21	32
5	Sandvikens IF	18	8	4	6	33	23	28
6	Landskrona BoIS	18	8	4	6	24	19	28
7	Nordic United FC	18	7	7	4	29	26	28
8	Osters IF	18	8	2	8	27	27	26
9	IK Oddevold	18	6	7	5	29	26	25
10	Helsingborg	17	7	3	7	30	34	24
11	IK Brage	18	5	5	8	30	33	20
12	Ljungskile	18	5	5	8	23	26	20
13	Norrby IF	17	3	10	4	21	23	19
14	Orebro SK	17	3	6	8	14	25	15
15	IFK Varnamo	17	4	2	11	20	35	14
16	GIF Sundsvall	18	3	0	15	13	42	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Falkenbergs FF	Norrby IF
Nordic United FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Varbergs BoIS FC	1-2 L	2-4 L
GIF Sundsvall	2-1 W	3-1 W
Osters IF	3-1 W	1-2 L
IK Oddevold	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Falkenbergs FF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Falkenbergs FF

WLDWWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
01/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
26/07	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
21/07	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	2-3	2-3	2	3	L
11/07	Landskrona BoIS Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
26/06	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-2	4-2	3	2	W
21/06	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-1	5	5	W
14/06	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
09/06	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-4	2-4	7	2	L
30/05	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-1	3	0	W

Norrby IF

WLLLDWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
26/07	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
20/07	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	3-1	7	1	W
11/07	Varbergs BoIS FC Club Friendly List	2-0	2-4	–	–	L
28/06	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
21/06	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
14/06	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
10/06	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
30/05	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-2	6	1	L
23/05	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Falkenbergs FF win (53%). Probabilities: Falkenbergs FF 53%, draw 25%, Norrby IF 23%.

How many goals are expected in Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Falkenbergs FF 1.92 · Norrby IF 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.