Football · Sweden Superettan · 25/08, 19:00
Prediction: Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall
Team pages: Osters IF · GIF Sundsvall
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Osters IF1.94
GIF Sundsvall1.27
1X2
Osters IF
Draw
GIF Sundsvall
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Osters IF
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
GIF Sundsvall
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Osters IF
5–1–0
GIF Sundsvall
(6 last)
- GIF Sundsvall0-4Osters IF
- GIF Sundsvall0-2Osters IF
- Osters IF2-0GIF Sundsvall
- Osters IF4-0GIF Sundsvall
- GIF Sundsvall2-3Osters IF
- GIF Sundsvall1-1Osters IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Osters IF 1529 · GIF Sundsvall 1398
| Osters IF | Draw | GIF Sundsvall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Osters IF (rating 1529 vs 1398).
- H2H favours Osters IF: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Osters IF | GIF Sundsvall | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 1.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Osters IF 5–1–0 GIF Sundsvall
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 Sweden Superettan | GIF Sundsvall | 0-4 HT 0-4 | Osters IF |
| 23/09/24 Sweden Superettan | GIF Sundsvall | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Osters IF |
| 20/07/24 Sweden Superettan | Osters IF | 2-0 HT 1-0 | GIF Sundsvall |
| 11/11/23 Sweden Superettan | Osters IF | 4-0 HT 1-0 | GIF Sundsvall |
| 24/04/23 Sweden Superettan | GIF Sundsvall | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Osters IF |
| 20/11/21 Sweden Superettan | GIF Sundsvall | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Osters IF |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 35 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 34 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 33 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 29 |
| 6 | Nordic United FC | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 26 | 29 |
| 7 | Osters IF | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
| 8 | Sandvikens IF | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 27 | 28 |
| 9 | IK Oddevold | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 26 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 37 | 25 |
| 11 | Norrby IF | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 12 | IK Brage | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 36 | 21 |
| 13 | Ljungskile | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 20 |
| 14 | IFK Varnamo | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 18 |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 31 | 16 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 19 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Osters IF | GIF Sundsvall |
|---|---|---|
| Ostersunds FK | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Falkenbergs FF | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Norrby IF | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Osters IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/06 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
GIF Sundsvall
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 15/06 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
0-4 | 0-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Osters IF win (52%). Probabilities: Osters IF 52%, draw 24%, GIF Sundsvall 24%.
How many goals are expected in Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Osters IF 1.94 · GIF Sundsvall 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Osters IF vs GIF Sundsvall?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.