Football · Sweden Superettan · 26/10, 19:05

Prediction: Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF

Team pages: Orebro SK · Falkenbergs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Orebro SK1.56

Falkenbergs FF1.53

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Orebro SK Draw Falkenbergs FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Orebro SK 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDLWDLDD

Falkenbergs FF 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWWDWW

Head-to-head

Orebro SK 2–1–3 Falkenbergs FF (6 last)

Falkenbergs FF1-1Orebro SK
Orebro SK4-1Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF2-1Orebro SK
Orebro SK3-1Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF2-1Orebro SK
Orebro SK1-2Falkenbergs FF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Falkenbergs FF (rating 1510 vs 1561).
H2H favours Falkenbergs FF: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orebro SK	Falkenbergs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.1	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.96

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 20:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.14 → 2.52▲	Pinn 2.52
X	3.48 → 3.51▲	Pinn 3.51
2	3.14 → 2.63▼	Pinn 2.63

See the full journey (5)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +28’	2.14	3.48	3.14
20:13 +51’	2.15▲	3.51▲	3.17▲
10:01 +21’	2.23▲	3.51	3.05▼
18:43 +1’	2.50▲	3.51	2.66▼
19:50 +17’	2.52▲	3.51	2.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orebro SK 2–1–3 Falkenbergs FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Sweden Superettan	Falkenbergs FF	1-1 HT 0-1	Orebro SK
05/10/25 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	4-1 HT 3-1	Falkenbergs FF
29/04/25 Sweden Superettan	Falkenbergs FF	2-1 HT 1-1	Orebro SK
12/03/21 Club Friendly List	Orebro SK	3-1 HT 0-1	Falkenbergs FF
17/10/20 Sweden Allsvenskan	Falkenbergs FF	2-1 HT 0-0	Orebro SK
01/08/20 Sweden Allsvenskan	Orebro SK	1-2 HT 0-0	Falkenbergs FF

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	27	18	5	4	54	18	59
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	15	6	6	52	37	51
3	Varbergs BoIS FC	27	13	7	7	45	34	46
4	Ostersunds FK	27	11	12	4	34	25	45
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	12	7	8	45	32	43
6	IK Oddevold	27	10	9	8	41	37	39
7	Osters IF	27	12	3	12	41	41	39
8	Nordic United FC	27	10	9	8	40	43	39
9	Sandvikens IF	27	10	8	9	45	36	38
10	IFK Varnamo	27	9	5	13	35	47	32
11	Helsingborg	27	8	7	12	36	47	31
12	Ljungskile	27	7	8	12	34	39	29
13	Norrby IF	27	5	12	10	31	37	27
14	IK Brage	27	6	8	13	41	50	26
15	Orebro SK	27	5	11	11	30	42	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	27	6	1	20	19	58	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orebro SK	Falkenbergs FF
IFK Norrkoping	2-2 D	1-2 L
Ljungskile	1-1 D	2-0 W
Nordic United FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Ostersunds FK	0-1 L	0-0 D
IK Brage	3-3 D	4-1 W
Norrby IF	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Falkenbergs FF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orebro SK

LDWDLWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
11/10	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
19/09	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-1	2-4	6	6	L
14/09	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	9	7	D
10/09	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
07/09	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
01/09	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
25/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
14/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-3	10	2	D
10/08	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-3	11	1	L

Falkenbergs FF

DWLWLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	4-1	4-3	4	3	W
11/10	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
18/09	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
13/09	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
10/09	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
05/09	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
24/08	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
15/08	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
08/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orebro SK win (38%). Probabilities: Orebro SK 38%, draw 26%, Falkenbergs FF 36%.

How many goals are expected in Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Orebro SK 1.56 · Falkenbergs FF 1.53), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.