Football · Sweden Superettan · 13/10, 19:00
Prediction: IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall
Team pages: IFK Norrkoping · GIF Sundsvall
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
IFK Norrkoping2.42
GIF Sundsvall0.64
1X2
IFK Norrkoping
Draw
GIF Sundsvall
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
IFK Norrkoping
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
GIF Sundsvall
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IFK Norrkoping
5–1–0
GIF Sundsvall
(6 last)
- GIF Sundsvall1-3IFK Norrkoping
- GIF Sundsvall1-3IFK Norrkoping
- IFK Norrkoping5-1GIF Sundsvall
- IFK Norrkoping2-0GIF Sundsvall
- GIF Sundsvall4-4IFK Norrkoping
- IFK Norrkoping2-0GIF Sundsvall
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IFK Norrkoping 1613 · GIF Sundsvall 1440
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | GIF Sundsvall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1613 vs 1440).
- H2H favours IFK Norrkoping: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IFK Norrkoping | GIF Sundsvall | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping 5–1–0 GIF Sundsvall
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Sweden Superettan | GIF Sundsvall | 1-3 HT 0-1 | IFK Norrkoping |
| 02/10/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | GIF Sundsvall | 1-3 HT 0-2 | IFK Norrkoping |
| 15/05/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping | 5-1 HT 4-0 | GIF Sundsvall |
| 20/02/21 Sweden Cup | IFK Norrkoping | 2-0 HT 2-0 | GIF Sundsvall |
| 05/10/19 Sweden Allsvenskan | GIF Sundsvall | 4-4 HT 3-0 | IFK Norrkoping |
| 20/05/19 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping | 2-0 HT 2-0 | GIF Sundsvall |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 16 | 55 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 33 | 45 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 45 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 34 | 25 | 44 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 43 |
| 6 | IK Oddevold | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| 7 | Sandvikens IF | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 37 |
| 8 | Osters IF | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 40 | 36 |
| 9 | Nordic United FC | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 42 | 36 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 45 | 30 |
| 11 | IFK Varnamo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 45 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrby IF | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Ljungskile | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 38 | 25 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 39 | 24 |
| 15 | IK Brage | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 48 | 23 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 19 | 53 | 19 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IFK Norrkoping | GIF Sundsvall |
|---|---|---|
| Osters IF | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Ljungskile | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Falkenbergs FF | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sandvikens IF | 4-1 W | 0-5 L |
| IK Brage | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Helsingborg | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Landskrona BoIS | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IFK Norrkoping
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/09 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/07 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
GIF Sundsvall
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/09 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/09 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Norrkoping win (77%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping 77%, draw 16%, GIF Sundsvall 8%.
How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall?
The model expects 3.05 goals (IFK Norrkoping 2.42 · GIF Sundsvall 0.64), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping vs GIF Sundsvall?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.