Football · Sweden Superettan · 20/10, 19:00
Prediction: IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK
Team pages: IFK Norrkoping · Orebro SK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
IFK Norrkoping1.9
Orebro SK1.2
1X2
IFK Norrkoping
Draw
Orebro SK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
IFK Norrkoping
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Orebro SK
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IFK Norrkoping
5–1
Orebro SK
(6 last)
- Orebro SK2-1IFK Norrkoping
- IFK Norrkoping4-2Orebro SK
- IFK Norrkoping2-0Orebro SK
- IFK Norrkoping3-0Orebro SK
- IFK Norrkoping1-0Orebro SK
- Orebro SK0-3IFK Norrkoping
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IFK Norrkoping 1595 · Orebro SK 1503
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Orebro SK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1595 vs 1503).
- H2H favours IFK Norrkoping: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IFK Norrkoping | Orebro SK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.3 | 2.1 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Norrkoping 5–0–1 Orebro SK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 Sweden Superettan | Orebro SK | 2-1 HT 1-1 | IFK Norrkoping |
| 22/02/25 Sweden Cup | IFK Norrkoping | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Orebro SK |
| 13/02/22 Club Friendly List | IFK Norrkoping | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Orebro SK |
| 19/09/21 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Orebro SK |
| 24/06/21 Club Friendly List | IFK Norrkoping | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Orebro SK |
| 02/05/21 Sweden Allsvenskan | Orebro SK | 0-3 HT 0-1 | IFK Norrkoping |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 16 | 58 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 34 | 48 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 45 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 34 | 25 | 44 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 43 |
| 6 | IK Oddevold | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| 7 | Sandvikens IF | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 37 |
| 8 | Osters IF | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 40 | 36 |
| 9 | Nordic United FC | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 42 | 36 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 47 | 30 |
| 11 | IFK Varnamo | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 47 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrby IF | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | IK Brage | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 48 | 26 |
| 14 | Ljungskile | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 39 | 26 |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 40 | 25 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 57 | 19 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IFK Norrkoping | Orebro SK |
|---|---|---|
| GIF Sundsvall | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ljungskile | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Nordic United FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sandvikens IF | 4-1 W | 2-4 L |
| IK Brage | 3-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Helsingborg | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IFK Norrkoping
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/09 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Orebro SK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/09 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 10/09 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/08 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 10/08 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 03/08 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Norrkoping win (53%). Probabilities: IFK Norrkoping 53%, draw 24%, Orebro SK 23%.
How many goals are expected in IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK?
The model expects 3.1 goals (IFK Norrkoping 1.9 · Orebro SK 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.