Football · Argentina Nacional B · 19/09, 23:00
Prediction: Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin de Tucuman
Team pages: Atletico Rafaela · San Martin de Tucuman
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Atletico Rafaela1.05
San Martin de Tucuman0.93
1X2
Atletico Rafaela
Draw
San Martin de Tucuman
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Rafaela
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
San Martin de Tucuman
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Rafaela
2–1–2
San Martin de Tucuman
(5 last)
- San Martin de Tucuman2-1Atletico Rafaela
- Atletico Rafaela1-1San Martin de Tucuman
- San Martin de Tucuman0-3Atletico Rafaela
- San Martin de Tucuman3-0Atletico Rafaela
- San Martin de Tucuman0-2Atletico Rafaela
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Rafaela | San Martin de Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Rafaela 2–1–2 San Martin de Tucuman
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 03/07/22 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 1-1 HT 1-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 14/12/20 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 20/10/19 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 04/11/17 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Atletico Rafaela |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 49 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 25 | 41 |
| 7 | San Martin SJ | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 41 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 30 | 40 |
| 9 | CA Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 28 | 40 |
| 10 | Atletico Rafaela | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 39 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 36 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 33 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 28 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 29 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 30 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 46 | 23 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Rafaela | San Martin de Tucuman |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Suarez | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| CA Guemes | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| San Martin SJ | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Nueva Chicago | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Almagro | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin de Tucuman (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
San Martin de Tucuman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 17/07 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin de Tucuman?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Rafaela win (36%). Probabilities: Atletico Rafaela 36%, draw 34%, San Martin de Tucuman 30%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin de Tucuman?
The model expects 1.98 goals (Atletico Rafaela 1.05 · San Martin de Tucuman 0.93), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin de Tucuman?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.