Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: Roa (W) vs Molde FK (W)

Team pages: Molde FK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Roa (W)1.54

Molde FK (W)1.74

1X2

33% 25% 42%

Roa (W) Draw Molde FK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Roa (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLLLDW

Molde FK (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLLDW

Head-to-head

Roa (W) 0–1 Molde FK (W) (1 last)

Molde FK (W)4-0Roa (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roa (W) 1468 · Molde FK (W) 1497

	Roa (W)	Draw	Molde FK (W)
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Roa (W)	Molde FK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 2.7	1.1 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.3	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.10 ★
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:59 +3’	2.70	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:53 +10’	2.62	4.10	2.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Roa (W) 0–0–1 Molde FK (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Molde FK (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Roa (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	12	10	2	0	37	3	32
2	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	11	8	1	2	27	12	25
3	Rosenborg (W)	12	7	3	2	21	13	24
4	Valerenga (W)	13	7	1	5	31	19	22
5	Stabaek (W)	12	5	2	5	18	12	17
6	Lyn (W)	11	4	4	3	20	11	16
7	LSK Kvinner (W)	11	4	2	5	17	19	14
8	Molde FK (W)	12	4	2	6	20	23	14
9	Haugesund (W)	12	4	2	6	17	30	14
10	Roa (W)	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
11	Honefoss (W)	11	2	2	7	10	23	8
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	12	0	2	10	7	50	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Roa (W)	Molde FK (W)
Stabaek (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Haugesund (W)	1-2 L	3-3 D
Fortuna Aalesund (W)	2-3 L	1-5 L
Rosenborg (W)	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Roa (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Roa (W)

LLLWDLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/06	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
13/06	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-1	0	3	D
30/05	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
26/05	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	2-3	3	0	L
20/05	Stabaek (W) Norway Cup Women	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
15/05	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
12/05	Alta IF Women Norway Cup Women	4-0	10-0	–	–	W
08/05	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
02/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
25/04	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	0-2	2	2	L

Molde FK (W)

LLWWWLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
20/06	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	3-3	4	2	D
13/06	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-2	1-2	5	3	L
26/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	2-3	2	0	L
19/05	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Cup Women	0-1	1-5	–	–	L
15/05	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
11/05	Tiller Women Norway Cup Women	0-1	3-1	4	3	W
08/05	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	4-0	3	1	W
02/05	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	2-3	2	0	L
29/04	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roa (W) vs Molde FK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Molde FK (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Roa (W) 33%, draw 25%, Molde FK (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Roa (W) vs Molde FK (W)?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Roa (W) 1.54 · Molde FK (W) 1.74), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Roa (W) vs Molde FK (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.