Football · Norway Division 1 · 20/09, 17:00

Prediction: Kongsvinger vs Hodd

Team pages: Kongsvinger · Hodd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.38Total

Kongsvinger2.61

Hodd1.77

1X2

55% 20% 25%

Kongsvinger Draw Hodd

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Kongsvinger 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWWWDW

Hodd 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWLWD

Head-to-head

Kongsvinger 3–1–2 Hodd (6 last)

Hodd1-2Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger3-0Hodd
Hodd0-2Kongsvinger
Hodd2-1Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger0-3Hodd
Hodd0-0Kongsvinger

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kongsvinger (rating 1596 vs 1525).
H2H favours Kongsvinger: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kongsvinger	Hodd
Goals for / against (FT)	3.7 / 2.1	2.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.8	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.3	1.2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.88

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 5.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Pinn 1.28
X	5.43 → 5.43	Pinn 5.43
2	8.74 → 8.74	Pinn 8.74

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:15 +371’	1.28	5.43	8.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kongsvinger 3–1–2 Hodd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Norway Division 1	Hodd	1-2 HT 1-0	Kongsvinger
22/10/25 Norway Division 1	Kongsvinger	3-0 HT 2-0	Hodd
05/04/25 Norway Division 1	Hodd	0-2 HT 0-1	Kongsvinger
02/09/23 Norway Division 1	Hodd	2-1 HT 2-1	Kongsvinger
30/04/23 Norway Division 1	Kongsvinger	0-3 HT 0-2	Hodd
12/09/21 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Hodd	0-0 HT 0-0	Kongsvinger

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	22	16	1	5	68	37	49
2	Kongsvinger	22	14	5	3	63	34	47
3	Stromsgodset	22	13	6	3	58	31	45
4	Stabaek	22	13	3	6	55	28	42
5	Hodd	22	10	4	8	37	40	34
6	Odd BK	22	9	6	7	42	35	33
7	Bryne	22	10	2	10	28	31	32
8	Egersund	22	8	5	9	35	39	29
9	Lyn 1896	22	8	4	10	38	44	28
10	Ranheim	22	7	4	11	52	57	25
11	Strommen	22	7	4	11	33	48	25
12	Sandnes Ulf	22	7	3	12	31	40	24
13	Sogndal	22	6	5	11	37	51	23
14	Moss	22	6	4	12	36	51	22
15	Asane	22	5	5	12	34	48	19
16	Raufoss	22	6	1	15	26	59	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kongsvinger	Hodd
Lyn 1896	4-4 D	4-1 W
Odd BK	1-0 W	0-0 D
Asane	2-1 W	2-2 D
Strommen	1-3 L	4-3 W
Sandnes Ulf	6-1 W	4-3 W
Stromsgodset	4-4 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kongsvinger (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kongsvinger

DLWWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Raufoss Norway Division 1	3-0	9-1	8	0	W
30/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	2-2	4-4	5	5	D
26/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
16/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-0	3-2	6	5	W
09/08	Asane Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
02/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	7	3	L
26/07	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	3-0	6-1	3	2	W
03/07	Sogndal Norway Division 1	4-1	5-1	4	1	W
27/06	Haugesund Norway Division 1	2-3	2-4	6	4	L
21/06	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-2	4-4	9	2	D

Hodd

DWWLWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Asane Norway Division 1	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
30/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
26/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
16/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	3-1	4-3	6	3	W
09/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	4-3	0	2	W
02/08	Moss Norway Division 1	2-1	2-1	7	6	W
27/07	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-3	0-6	2	4	L
04/07	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	3-2	4-3	1	7	W
27/06	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	2-1	4-1	2	5	W
21/06	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kongsvinger vs Hodd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kongsvinger win (55%). Probabilities: Kongsvinger 55%, draw 20%, Hodd 25%.

How many goals are expected in Kongsvinger vs Hodd?

The model expects 4.38 goals (Kongsvinger 2.61 · Hodd 1.77), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Kongsvinger vs Hodd?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.