Football · Norway Division 1 · 20/09, 17:00

Prediction: Sandnes Ulf vs Moss

Team pages: Sandnes Ulf · Moss

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Sandnes Ulf2.12

Moss1.52

1X2

51% 23% 27%

Sandnes Ulf Draw Moss

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Sandnes Ulf 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWDLLLLLWD

Moss 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLDLW

Head-to-head

Sandnes Ulf 3–1–2 Moss (6 last)

Moss1-4Sandnes Ulf
Moss6-1Sandnes Ulf
Sandnes Ulf3-3Moss
Sandnes Ulf2-0Moss
Moss1-0Sandnes Ulf
Moss1-7Sandnes Ulf

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sandnes Ulf: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandnes Ulf	Moss
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.5 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.3	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.96

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.18 → 2.18	Pinn 2.18
X	3.77 → 3.77	Pinn 3.77
2	2.97 → 2.97	Pinn 2.97

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:28 +238’	2.18	3.77	2.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandnes Ulf 3–1–2 Moss

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Norway Division 1	Moss	1-4 HT 0-1	Sandnes Ulf
25/09/24 Norway Division 1	Moss	6-1 HT 2-1	Sandnes Ulf
04/05/24 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	3-3 HT 1-0	Moss
13/08/23 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	2-0 HT 1-0	Moss
07/05/23 Norway Division 1	Moss	1-0 HT 0-0	Sandnes Ulf
22/09/21 Norway Cup	Moss	1-7 HT 1-4	Sandnes Ulf

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	22	16	1	5	68	37	49
2	Kongsvinger	22	14	5	3	63	34	47
3	Stromsgodset	22	13	6	3	58	31	45
4	Stabaek	22	13	3	6	55	28	42
5	Hodd	22	10	4	8	37	40	34
6	Odd BK	22	9	6	7	42	35	33
7	Bryne	22	10	2	10	28	31	32
8	Egersund	22	8	5	9	35	39	29
9	Lyn 1896	22	8	4	10	38	44	28
10	Ranheim	22	7	4	11	52	57	25
11	Strommen	22	7	4	11	33	48	25
12	Sandnes Ulf	22	7	3	12	31	40	24
13	Sogndal	22	6	5	11	37	51	23
14	Moss	22	6	4	12	36	51	22
15	Asane	22	5	5	12	34	48	19
16	Raufoss	22	6	1	15	26	59	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandnes Ulf	Moss
Raufoss	3-0 W	1-2 L
Bryne	0-1 L	1-2 L
Sogndal	0-2 L	2-2 D
Hodd	3-4 L	1-2 L
Egersund	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sandnes Ulf (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sandnes Ulf

WWDLLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
22/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
09/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-0	3-4	6	2	L
02/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
26/07	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-3	1-6	6	2	L
04/07	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
27/06	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	3-0	5	3	W
21/06	Moss Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	4	5	W

Moss

LLLLLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Stabaek Norway Division 1	2-2	3-2	4	1	W
30/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
26/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	7	2	D
15/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	1-2	1	3	L
10/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-2	3-3	3	2	D
02/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-2	1-2	8	6	L
26/07	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	12	3	L
04/07	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
27/06	Strommen Norway Division 1	1-2	2-3	4	5	L
21/06	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	1-4	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandnes Ulf vs Moss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sandnes Ulf win (51%). Probabilities: Sandnes Ulf 51%, draw 23%, Moss 27%.

How many goals are expected in Sandnes Ulf vs Moss?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Sandnes Ulf 2.12 · Moss 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandnes Ulf vs Moss?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.