Football · Norway Division 1 · 20/09, 17:00

Prediction: Raufoss vs Stromsgodset

Team pages: Raufoss · Stromsgodset

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.19Total

Raufoss1.81

Stromsgodset2.38

1X2

29% 21% 50%

Raufoss Draw Stromsgodset

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Raufoss 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLLLLL

Stromsgodset 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDWLWWWD

Head-to-head

Raufoss 0–1–4 Stromsgodset (5 last)

Stromsgodset6-1Raufoss
Stromsgodset2-0Raufoss
Raufoss0-0Stromsgodset
Stromsgodset3-1Raufoss
Stromsgodset3-0Raufoss

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stromsgodset (rating 1459 vs 1600).
H2H favours Stromsgodset: 4-1-0.
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Raufoss	Stromsgodset
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 3.1	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5	3.6 / 8.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.94

Under 3.751.84

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	6.76 → 6.76	Pinn 6.76
X	5.63 → 5.63	Pinn 5.63
2	1.34 → 1.34	Pinn 1.34

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:14 +372’	6.76	5.63	1.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raufoss 0–1–4 Stromsgodset

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Norway Division 1	Stromsgodset	6-1 HT 2-1	Raufoss
09/02/23 Club Friendly List	Stromsgodset	2-0 HT 1-0	Raufoss
12/03/22 Norway Cup	Raufoss	0-0 HT 0-0	Stromsgodset
23/02/22 Europe Friendlies	Stromsgodset	3-1 HT 1-0	Raufoss
09/06/20 Club Friendly List	Stromsgodset	3-0 HT 0-0	Raufoss

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	22	16	1	5	68	37	49
2	Kongsvinger	22	14	5	3	63	34	47
3	Stromsgodset	22	13	6	3	58	31	45
4	Stabaek	22	13	3	6	55	28	42
5	Hodd	22	10	4	8	37	40	34
6	Odd BK	22	9	6	7	42	35	33
7	Bryne	22	10	2	10	28	31	32
8	Egersund	22	8	5	9	35	39	29
9	Lyn 1896	22	8	4	10	38	44	28
10	Ranheim	22	7	4	11	52	57	25
11	Strommen	22	7	4	11	33	48	25
12	Sandnes Ulf	22	7	3	12	31	40	24
13	Sogndal	22	6	5	11	37	51	23
14	Moss	22	6	4	12	36	51	22
15	Asane	22	5	5	12	34	48	19
16	Raufoss	22	6	1	15	26	59	19

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Raufoss	Stromsgodset
Kongsvinger	1-9 L	4-4 D
Sogndal	3-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raufoss

WLWWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-3	1-9	2	0	L
30/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	0-3	13	2	L
26/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
16/08	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
09/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-4	2-7	1	6	L
02/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
26/07	Moss Norway Division 1	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
03/07	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/06	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
21/06	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-1	6	2	W

Stromsgodset

DDLDWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	2-1	3-2	8	5	W
26/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	9	4	W
15/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	3-1	13	3	W
09/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
01/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
25/07	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	12	3	D
04/07	Hodd Norway Division 1	2-3	3-4	9	7	L
27/06	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	11	5	D
21/06	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	2-1	4-4	6	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raufoss vs Stromsgodset?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stromsgodset win (50%). Probabilities: Raufoss 29%, draw 21%, Stromsgodset 50%.

How many goals are expected in Raufoss vs Stromsgodset?

The model expects 4.19 goals (Raufoss 1.81 · Stromsgodset 2.38), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Stromsgodset?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.