Football · Norway Division 1 · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Hodd vs Odd BK

Team pages: Hodd · Odd BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Hodd1.63

Odd BK2.36

1X2

25% 22% 53%

Hodd Draw Odd BK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Hodd 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLWDLL

Odd BK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLWDLW

Head-to-head

Hodd 2–1–0 Odd BK (3 last)

Odd BK0-0Hodd
Odd BK1-2Hodd
Hodd3-1Odd BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hodd 1537 · Odd BK 1530

	Hodd	Draw	Odd BK
Our model	26%	21%	53%
Market	25%	22%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hodd: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hodd	Odd BK
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.9	2.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.00

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.76
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.23 ★
2	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.77

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:47 +4’	3.60	4.00	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:59 +292’	3.76	4.23	1.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hodd 2–1–0 Odd BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Norway Division 1	Odd BK	0-0 HT 0-0	Hodd
13/09/25 Norway Division 1	Odd BK	1-2 HT 1-2	Hodd
25/05/25 Norway Division 1	Hodd	3-1 HT 2-0	Odd BK

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	23	17	1	5	72	39	52
2	Kongsvinger	23	15	5	3	68	35	50
3	Stromsgodset	23	14	6	3	60	31	48
4	Stabaek	23	14	3	6	57	29	45
5	Odd BK	23	10	6	7	47	36	36
6	Bryne	23	11	2	10	32	31	35
7	Hodd	23	10	4	9	38	45	34
8	Egersund	23	8	5	10	36	44	29
9	Ranheim	23	8	4	11	56	58	28
10	Lyn 1896	23	8	4	11	39	48	28
11	Moss	23	7	4	12	38	52	25
12	Strommen	23	7	4	12	35	52	25
13	Sandnes Ulf	23	7	3	13	32	42	24
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38	53	23
15	Asane	23	5	5	13	34	52	19
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26	61	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hodd	Odd BK
Kongsvinger	1-5 L	0-1 L
Lyn 1896	0-2 L	1-5 L
Asane	2-2 D	4-1 W
Stromsgodset	1-3 L	1-1 D
Strommen	4-3 W	0-0 D
Moss	2-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hodd

WLWWWLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-2	1-5	3	4	L
13/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
05/09	Asane Norway Division 1	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
30/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
26/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
16/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	3-1	4-3	6	3	W
09/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	4-3	0	2	W
02/08	Moss Norway Division 1	2-1	2-1	7	6	W
27/07	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-3	0-6	2	4	L
04/07	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	3-2	4-3	1	7	W

Odd BK

LDWDLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Egersund Norway Division 1	2-1	5-1	7	6	W
13/09	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-1	1-2	11	5	L
05/09	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	4-2	5-3	4	4	W
26/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
15/08	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-4	1-5	3	2	L
10/08	Moss Norway Division 1	2-0	3-3	4	2	D
02/08	Asane Norway Division 1	4-1	4-1	9	2	W
26/07	Strommen Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
05/07	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-1	1-3	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hodd vs Odd BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Odd BK win (53%). Probabilities: Hodd 25%, draw 22%, Odd BK 53%.

How many goals are expected in Hodd vs Odd BK?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Hodd 1.63 · Odd BK 2.36), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hodd vs Odd BK?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.