Football · Norway Division 1 · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Ranheim vs Egersund

Team pages: Ranheim · Egersund

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.19Total

Ranheim2.25

Egersund1.94

1X2

44% 23% 33%

Ranheim Draw Egersund

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Ranheim 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLDDW

Egersund 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLDDDL

Head-to-head

Ranheim 2–1–3 Egersund (6 last)

Egersund3-0Ranheim
Egersund3-2Ranheim
Ranheim0-4Egersund
Egersund3-4Ranheim
Ranheim2-2Egersund
Egersund0-2Ranheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ranheim 1487 · Egersund 1547

	Ranheim	Draw	Egersund
Our model	45%	21%	33%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 4.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Egersund (rating 1487 vs 1547).
H2H favours Egersund: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ranheim	Egersund
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.9	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.5	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	2.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.75

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 4.17 ★
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 3.07

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +4’	2.05	3.75	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:17 +360’	2.07	4.15	2.93
06:21 +17’	2.01▼	4.17▲	3.07▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ranheim 2–1–3 Egersund

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Norway Division 1	Egersund	3-0 HT 2-0	Ranheim
22/11/25 Norway Division 1 Play-Offs	Egersund	3-2 HT 1-1	Ranheim
04/10/25 Norway Division 1	Ranheim	0-4 HT 0-1	Egersund
15/06/25 Norway Division 1	Egersund	3-4 HT 2-1	Ranheim
07/05/25 Norway Cup	Ranheim	2-2 HT 1-0	Egersund
16/09/24 Norway Division 1	Egersund	0-2 HT 0-1	Ranheim

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	23	17	1	5	72	39	52
2	Kongsvinger	23	15	5	3	68	35	50
3	Stromsgodset	23	14	6	3	60	31	48
4	Stabaek	23	14	3	6	57	29	45
5	Odd BK	23	10	6	7	47	36	36
6	Bryne	23	11	2	10	32	31	35
7	Hodd	23	10	4	9	38	45	34
8	Egersund	23	8	5	10	36	44	29
9	Ranheim	23	8	4	11	56	58	28
10	Lyn 1896	23	8	4	11	39	48	28
11	Moss	23	7	4	12	38	52	25
12	Strommen	23	7	4	12	35	52	25
13	Sandnes Ulf	23	7	3	13	32	42	24
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38	53	23
15	Asane	23	5	5	13	34	52	19
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26	61	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ranheim	Egersund
Lyn 1896	4-1 W	1-1 D
Asane	2-2 D	2-2 D
Sandnes Ulf	1-1 D	2-0 W
Odd BK	3-5 L	1-5 L
Stabaek	2-4 L	0-4 L
Stromsgodset	1-3 L	2-0 W
Haugesund	3-4 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ranheim (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ranheim

LLLWLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	4-1	4	2	W
13/09	Asane Norway Division 1	0-2	2-2	8	3	D
05/09	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
30/08	Odd BK Norway Division 1	2-4	3-5	8	4	L
26/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	2-2	2-4	4	2	L
15/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-1	1-3	2	3	L
09/08	Strommen Norway Division 1	3-0	4-1	3	0	W
03/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	1-2	3-4	9	3	L
26/07	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	2-3	10	3	L
03/07	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-2	2-5	3	0	L

Egersund

WDWWLLDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-2	1-5	6	6	L
13/09	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	12	3	D
06/09	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
30/08	Asane Norway Division 1	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
26/08	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	6	L
16/08	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-1	0-4	6	5	L
09/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
02/08	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/07	Asane Norway Division 1	0-2	3-3	11	3	D
04/07	Moss Norway Division 1	2-0	3-0	9	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ranheim vs Egersund?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ranheim win (44%). Probabilities: Ranheim 44%, draw 23%, Egersund 33%.

How many goals are expected in Ranheim vs Egersund?

The model expects 4.19 goals (Ranheim 2.25 · Egersund 1.94), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ranheim vs Egersund?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.