Football · Norway Division 1 · 03/10, 14:30

Prediction: Strommen vs Sandnes Ulf

Team pages: Strommen · Sandnes Ulf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Strommen1.83

Sandnes Ulf1.49

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Strommen Draw Sandnes Ulf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Strommen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWWWDL

Sandnes Ulf 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLWDLL

Head-to-head

Strommen 2–2–2 Sandnes Ulf (6 last)

Sandnes Ulf2-0Strommen
Strommen2-2Sandnes Ulf
Sandnes Ulf3-2Strommen
Sandnes Ulf2-2Strommen
Strommen4-0Sandnes Ulf
Sandnes Ulf0-3Strommen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strommen 1483 · Sandnes Ulf 1472

	Strommen	Draw	Sandnes Ulf
Our model	45%	25%	31%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Strommen	Sandnes Ulf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	1.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.6	1.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.37 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.71
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:37 +12’	2.05	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:08 +521’	2.37	3.71	2.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Strommen 2–2–2 Sandnes Ulf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	2-0 HT 0-0	Strommen
16/10/21 Norway Division 1	Strommen	2-2 HT 1-1	Sandnes Ulf
18/08/21 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	3-2 HT 1-2	Strommen
28/10/20 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	2-2 HT 1-1	Strommen
31/07/20 Norway Division 1	Strommen	4-0 HT 2-0	Sandnes Ulf
09/11/19 Norway Division 1	Sandnes Ulf	0-3	Strommen

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	23	17	1	5	72	39	52
2	Kongsvinger	23	15	5	3	68	35	50
3	Stromsgodset	23	14	6	3	60	31	48
4	Stabaek	23	14	3	6	57	29	45
5	Odd BK	23	10	6	7	47	36	36
6	Bryne	23	11	2	10	32	31	35
7	Hodd	23	10	4	9	38	45	34
8	Egersund	23	8	5	10	36	44	29
9	Ranheim	23	8	4	11	56	58	28
10	Lyn 1896	23	8	4	11	39	48	28
11	Moss	23	7	4	12	38	52	25
12	Strommen	23	7	4	12	35	52	25
13	Sandnes Ulf	23	7	3	13	32	42	24
14	Sogndal	23	6	5	12	38	53	23
15	Asane	23	5	5	13	34	52	19
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26	61	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strommen	Sandnes Ulf
Sogndal	1-1 D	0-2 L
Bryne	2-0 W	0-1 L
Moss	2-1 W	1-2 L
Raufoss	3-1 W	3-0 W
Hodd	3-4 L	3-4 L
Ranheim	1-4 L	1-1 D
Kongsvinger	3-1 W	1-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Strommen (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strommen

LDWLLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Haugesund Norway Division 1	2-2	2-4	4	3	L
13/09	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
05/09	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
30/08	Moss Norway Division 1	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
26/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	2-0	3-1	11	1	W
16/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-3	3-4	5	3	L
09/08	Ranheim Norway Division 1	0-3	1-4	4	0	L
02/08	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
26/07	Odd BK Norway Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
03/07	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	10	4	L

Sandnes Ulf

DLLLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Moss Norway Division 1	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
13/09	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
05/09	Ranheim Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
30/08	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
22/08	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
09/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-0	3-4	6	2	L
02/08	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
26/07	Kongsvinger Norway Division 1	0-3	1-6	6	2	L
04/07	Bryne Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strommen vs Sandnes Ulf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Strommen win (44%). Probabilities: Strommen 44%, draw 26%, Sandnes Ulf 30%.

How many goals are expected in Strommen vs Sandnes Ulf?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Strommen 1.83 · Sandnes Ulf 1.49), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Strommen vs Sandnes Ulf?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.