Football · Norway Division 1 · 14/10, 19:00
Prediction: Stabaek vs Sandnes Ulf
Team pages: Stabaek · Sandnes Ulf
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Stabaek2.28
Sandnes Ulf1.28
1X2
Stabaek
Draw
Sandnes Ulf
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Stabaek
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Sandnes Ulf
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stabaek
3–1–1
Sandnes Ulf
(5 last)
- Sandnes Ulf0-1Stabaek
- Sandnes Ulf1-3Stabaek
- Stabaek3-0Sandnes Ulf
- Sandnes Ulf2-2Stabaek
- Stabaek0-1Sandnes Ulf
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stabaek (rating 1542 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Stabaek: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stabaek | Sandnes Ulf | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 7.9 | 1.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stabaek 3–1–1 Sandnes Ulf
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Norway Division 1 | Sandnes Ulf | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Stabaek |
| 19/08/24 Norway Division 1 | Sandnes Ulf | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Stabaek |
| 31/07/24 Norway Division 1 | Stabaek | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sandnes Ulf |
| 22/10/22 Norway Division 1 | Sandnes Ulf | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Stabaek |
| 25/04/22 Norway Division 1 | Stabaek | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sandnes Ulf |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 74 | 39 | 55 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 61 | 31 | 51 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 57 | 31 | 45 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 38 | 39 |
| 6 | Bryne | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 38 |
| 7 | Hodd | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 48 | 34 |
| 8 | Ranheim | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 61 | 58 | 31 |
| 9 | Egersund | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 49 | 29 |
| 10 | Lyn 1896 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 49 | 28 |
| 11 | Strommen | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 55 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandnes Ulf | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 45 | 25 |
| 13 | Moss | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 38 | 54 | 25 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 53 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 53 | 19 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 61 | 19 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stabaek | Sandnes Ulf |
|---|---|---|
| Sogndal | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Bryne | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Moss | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Hodd | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Ranheim | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Egersund | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Raufoss | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Stabaek (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stabaek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 27/07 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Sandnes Ulf
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stabaek vs Sandnes Ulf?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stabaek win (59%). Probabilities: Stabaek 59%, draw 21%, Sandnes Ulf 20%.
How many goals are expected in Stabaek vs Sandnes Ulf?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Stabaek 2.28 · Sandnes Ulf 1.28), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stabaek vs Sandnes Ulf?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.