Football · Norway Division 1 · 14/10, 15:00
Prediction: Strommen vs Asane
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.95Total
Strommen2.3
Asane1.65
1X2
Strommen
Draw
Asane
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Strommen
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Asane
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Strommen
4–2
Asane
(6 last)
- Asane4-5Strommen
- Asane2-1Strommen
- Strommen1-0Asane
- Asane1-4Strommen
- Strommen0-3Asane
- Asane0-5Strommen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Strommen 1512 · Asane 1471
| Strommen | Draw | Asane | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 21% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Strommen (rating 1512 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Strommen: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Strommen | Asane | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Strommen 4–0–2 Asane
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Norway Division 1 | Asane | 4-5 HT 1-2 | Strommen |
| 28/08/21 Norway Division 1 | Asane | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Strommen |
| 18/06/21 Norway Division 1 | Strommen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Asane |
| 07/12/20 Norway Division 1 | Asane | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Strommen |
| 20/07/20 Norway Division 1 | Strommen | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Asane |
| 04/11/18 Norway Division 1 | Asane | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Strommen |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kongsvinger | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 76 | 37 | 56 |
| 2 | Haugesund | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 75 | 40 | 56 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 66 | 32 | 54 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 59 | 33 | 46 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 39 | 42 |
| 6 | Bryne | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Hodd | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 51 | 34 |
| 8 | Egersund | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 50 | 32 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 63 | 64 | 31 |
| 10 | Lyn 1896 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 54 | 28 |
| 11 | Moss | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 55 | 28 |
| 12 | Strommen | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 57 | 27 |
| 13 | Sandnes Ulf | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 46 | 26 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 55 | 23 |
| 15 | Asane | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | 22 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 63 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Strommen | Asane |
|---|---|---|
| Sogndal | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Bryne | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Raufoss | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Hodd | 3-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Ranheim | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Kongsvinger | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Strommen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/08 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Asane
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 26/08 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
1-4 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Strommen vs Asane?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Strommen win (51%). Probabilities: Strommen 51%, draw 23%, Asane 26%.
How many goals are expected in Strommen vs Asane?
The model expects 3.95 goals (Strommen 2.3 · Asane 1.65), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Strommen vs Asane?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.