Football · Norway Toppserien Women · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: LSK Kvinner (W) vs Rosenborg (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

LSK Kvinner (W)0.83

Rosenborg (W)2.47

1X2

10% 17% 73%

LSK Kvinner (W) Draw Rosenborg (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

LSK Kvinner (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Rosenborg (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

LSK Kvinner (W) 2–4 Rosenborg (W) (6 last)

Rosenborg (W)0-1LSK Kvinner (W)
Rosenborg (W)4-1LSK Kvinner (W)
Rosenborg (W)5-0LSK Kvinner (W)
Rosenborg (W)2-0LSK Kvinner (W)
LSK Kvinner (W)1-2Rosenborg (W)
Rosenborg (W)1-2LSK Kvinner (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LSK Kvinner (W) 1532 · Rosenborg (W) 1564

	LSK Kvinner (W)	Draw	Rosenborg (W)
Our model	10%	18%	72%
Market	10%	17%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rosenborg (W): 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LSK Kvinner (W)	Rosenborg (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	3.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	3.5 / 8.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

19.00

X5.50

21.27

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.80

2 (-1.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.27 → 1.27	Pinn 1.33 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:52 +10’	9.00	5.50	1.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:53 +9’	7.16	5.07	1.32
01:10	7.12▼	5.03▼	1.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LSK Kvinner (W) 2–0–4 Rosenborg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Norway Toppserien Women	Rosenborg (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	LSK Kvinner (W)
13/08/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Rosenborg (W)	4-1 HT 2-1	LSK Kvinner (W)
05/08/25 Norway Toppserien Women	Rosenborg (W)	5-0 HT 3-0	LSK Kvinner (W)
11/06/25 Norway Cup Women	Rosenborg (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	LSK Kvinner (W)
03/05/25 Norway Toppserien Women	LSK Kvinner (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Rosenborg (W)
12/10/24 Norway Toppserien Women	Rosenborg (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	LSK Kvinner (W)

Standings · Norway Toppserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Brann (W)	12	10	2	0	37	3	32
2	Fortuna Aalesund (W)	11	8	1	2	27	12	25
3	Rosenborg (W)	12	7	3	2	21	13	24
4	Valerenga (W)	13	7	1	5	31	19	22
5	Stabaek (W)	12	5	2	5	18	12	17
6	Lyn (W)	11	4	4	3	20	11	16
7	LSK Kvinner (W)	11	4	2	5	17	19	14
8	Molde FK (W)	12	4	2	6	20	23	14
9	Haugesund (W)	12	4	2	6	17	30	14
10	Roa (W)	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
11	Honefoss (W)	11	2	2	7	10	23	8
12	Bodo/Glimt (W)	12	0	2	10	7	50	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LSK Kvinner (W)	Rosenborg (W)
Lyn (W)	0-1 L	4-4 D
Bodo/Glimt (W)	6-0 W	3-0 W
Valerenga (W)	2-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

LSK Kvinner (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Lyn (W) Women’s Friendly	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
21/06	SK Brann (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
13/06	Fortuna Aalesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L
30/05	Rosenborg (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
26/05	Honefoss (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	3-2	5	3	W
19/05	Honefoss (W) Norway Cup Women	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
15/05	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-0	6-0	7	1	W
12/05	Tynset Women Norway Cup Women	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
08/05	Haugesund (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-1	2-1	4	1	W
02/05	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-2	2-3	2	0	L

Rosenborg (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/06	Valerenga (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
13/06	Lyn (W) Norway Toppserien Women	2-1	4-4	3	2	D
30/05	LSK Kvinner (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
26/05	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	3-2	9	0	W
20/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Cup Women	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
15/05	Stabaek (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-1	2-1	16	1	W
12/05	Malvik (W) Norway Cup Women	8-0	15-0	9	0	W
08/05	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
02/05	Roa (W) Norway Toppserien Women	1-0	1-0	10	4	W
29/04	Molde FK (W) Norway Toppserien Women	0-0	1-0	11	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LSK Kvinner (W) vs Rosenborg (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosenborg (W) win (73%). Probabilities: LSK Kvinner (W) 10%, draw 17%, Rosenborg (W) 73%.

How many goals are expected in LSK Kvinner (W) vs Rosenborg (W)?

The model expects 3.3 goals (LSK Kvinner (W) 0.83 · Rosenborg (W) 2.47), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in LSK Kvinner (W) vs Rosenborg (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.