Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 09/08, 14:00

Prediction: Odd BK (W) vs Grei (W)

Team pages: Odd BK (W) · Grei (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

Odd BK (W)2.2

Grei (W)1.42

1X2

54% 22% 24%

Odd BK (W) Draw Grei (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Odd BK (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Grei (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Odd BK (W) 1–0 Grei (W) (1 last)

Grei (W)1-3Odd BK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odd BK (W) 1502 · Grei (W) 1447

	Odd BK (W)	Draw	Grei (W)
Our model	54%	22%	24%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Odd BK (W) (rating 1502 vs 1447).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odd BK (W)	Grei (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.8 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	0.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	1.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +7’	1.65	4.00	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odd BK (W) 1–0–0 Grei (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	1-3 HT 0-3	Odd BK (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	12	10	2	0	28	12	32
2	Asane (W)	12	9	3	0	23	7	30
3	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	13	8	2	3	37	13	26
4	Viking FK (W)	11	8	2	1	34	11	26
5	TIL 2020 Women	12	6	2	4	24	11	20
6	Odd BK (W)	12	4	4	4	16	17	16
7	Kolbotn (W)	12	4	2	6	20	20	14
8	Bryne (W)	13	4	2	7	12	24	14
9	Grei (W)	12	3	1	8	23	28	10
10	Fyllingsdalen (W)	12	3	0	9	13	30	9
11	Klepp (W)	11	2	0	9	12	43	6
12	Frigg (W)	12	1	0	11	7	33	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odd BK (W)	Grei (W)
Kolbotn (W)	1-1 D	3-0 W
IK Start (W)	1-2 L	1-3 L
Bryne (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Odd BK (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Odd BK (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L
27/06	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/06	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	3-1	4	4	W
13/06	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
31/05	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
15/05	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
12/05	Stabaek (W) Norway Cup Women	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
09/05	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-1	8	2	D

Grei (W)

LLWDLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-3	1	2	L
28/06	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
21/06	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	1-3	5	4	L
14/06	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	2-4	0	1	L
30/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
21/05	Lyn (W) Norway Cup Women	0-4	1-4	7	1	L
16/05	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/05	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Cup Women	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
09/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	2-4	2	0	L
03/05	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-3	4-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odd BK (W) vs Grei (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odd BK (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Odd BK (W) 54%, draw 22%, Grei (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in Odd BK (W) vs Grei (W)?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Odd BK (W) 2.2 · Grei (W) 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Odd BK (W) vs Grei (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.