Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 16/08, 14:00

Prediction: Frigg (W) vs Odd BK (W)

Team pages: Frigg (W) · Odd BK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Frigg (W)0.96

Odd BK (W)2.24

1X2

14% 20% 66%

Frigg (W) Draw Odd BK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Frigg (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

Odd BK (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWDDWWLW

Head-to-head

Frigg (W) 0–1 Odd BK (W) (1 last)

Odd BK (W)1-0Frigg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frigg (W) 1395 · Odd BK (W) 1502

	Frigg (W)	Draw	Odd BK (W)
Our model	14%	21%	65%
Market	14%	20%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Odd BK (W) (rating 1395 vs 1502).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frigg (W)	Odd BK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.9	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 2.1	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.25

X4.50

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:43 +7’	6.25	4.50	1.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frigg (W) 0–0–1 Odd BK (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Odd BK (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Frigg (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	13	11	2	0	33	12	35
2	Asane (W)	13	10	3	0	24	7	33
3	Viking FK (W)	13	9	2	2	40	12	29
4	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	13	8	2	3	37	13	26
5	TIL 2020 Women	12	6	2	4	24	11	20
6	Odd BK (W)	13	5	4	4	17	17	19
7	Kolbotn (W)	13	4	2	7	20	26	14
8	Bryne (W)	14	4	2	8	12	25	14
9	Fyllingsdalen (W)	14	4	0	10	18	35	12
10	Grei (W)	13	3	1	9	23	29	10
11	Klepp (W)	12	3	0	9	17	47	9
12	Frigg (W)	13	1	0	12	7	38	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frigg (W)	Odd BK (W)
IK Start (W)	0-5 L	1-2 L
Kolbotn (W)	2-3 L	1-1 D
Asane (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Viking FK (W)	0-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Odd BK (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Frigg (W)

LWLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	0-5	2	1	L
02/08	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	2-3	3	3	L
27/06	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
21/06	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	1-3	1	1	L
14/06	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-5	4	1	L
31/05	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
15/05	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	0-3	0	0	L
12/05	Lyn (W) Norway Cup Women	0-0	0-4	3	1	L
09/05	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	3-2	1	1	W
03/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Odd BK (W)

LDLWDDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
01/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L
27/06	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/06	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	3-1	4	4	W
13/06	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
31/05	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
15/05	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	2-1	4	1	W
12/05	Stabaek (W) Norway Cup Women	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
09/05	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
02/05	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frigg (W) vs Odd BK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Odd BK (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Frigg (W) 14%, draw 20%, Odd BK (W) 66%.

How many goals are expected in Frigg (W) vs Odd BK (W)?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Frigg (W) 0.96 · Odd BK (W) 2.24), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Frigg (W) vs Odd BK (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.