Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 16/08, 14:00

Prediction: Grei (W) vs Kolbotn (W)

Team pages: Grei (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Grei (W)1.39

Kolbotn (W)1.87

1X2

28% 24% 48%

Grei (W) Draw Kolbotn (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Grei (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLWLL

Kolbotn (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDWLLDWL

Head-to-head

Grei (W) 1–5 Kolbotn (W) (6 last)

Kolbotn (W)0-3Grei (W)
Grei (W)0-3Kolbotn (W)
Kolbotn (W)2-0Grei (W)
Grei (W)1-2Kolbotn (W)
Grei (W)0-2Kolbotn (W)
Grei (W)0-1Kolbotn (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grei (W) 1437 · Kolbotn (W) 1456

	Grei (W)	Draw	Kolbotn (W)
Our model	28%	24%	48%
Market	28%	24%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kolbotn (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grei (W)	Kolbotn (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.3	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	11/33/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.6 / 3	2.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.80

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:31 +18’	3.20	3.80	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grei (W) 1–0–5 Kolbotn (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Kolbotn (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Grei (W)
07/05/25 Norway Cup Women	Grei (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Kolbotn (W)
01/07/23 Norway Division 1 Women	Kolbotn (W)	2-0	Grei (W)
06/05/23 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Kolbotn (W)
18/05/22 Norway Cup Women	Grei (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Kolbotn (W)
30/05/18 Norway Cup Women	Grei (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Kolbotn (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	13	11	2	0	33	12	35
2	Asane (W)	13	10	3	0	24	7	33
3	Viking FK (W)	13	9	2	2	40	12	29
4	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	13	8	2	3	37	13	26
5	TIL 2020 Women	12	6	2	4	24	11	20
6	Odd BK (W)	13	5	4	4	17	17	19
7	Kolbotn (W)	13	4	2	7	20	26	14
8	Bryne (W)	14	4	2	8	12	25	14
9	Fyllingsdalen (W)	14	4	0	10	18	35	12
10	Grei (W)	13	3	1	9	23	29	10
11	Klepp (W)	12	3	0	9	17	47	9
12	Frigg (W)	13	1	0	12	7	38	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grei (W)	Kolbotn (W)
Odd BK (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
IK Start (W)	1-3 L	1-2 L
Bryne (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Lyn (W)	1-4 L	1-1 D
Arna-Bjørnar (W)	2-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	0 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kolbotn (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Grei (W)

LWDLLLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
02/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-3	1	2	L
28/06	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
21/06	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	1-3	5	4	L
14/06	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	2-4	0	1	L
30/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
21/05	Lyn (W) Norway Cup Women	0-4	1-4	7	1	L
16/05	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/05	Bodo/Glimt (W) Norway Cup Women	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
09/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	2-4	2	0	L

Kolbotn (W)

LLDDWLLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	0-6	1	0	L
02/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
24/07	Lyn (W) Women’s Friendly	–	1-1	0	0	D
28/06	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
21/06	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
14/06	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	5-0	5	1	W
31/05	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-1	11	3	D
25/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/05	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
09/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-1	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grei (W) vs Kolbotn (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kolbotn (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Grei (W) 28%, draw 24%, Kolbotn (W) 48%.

How many goals are expected in Grei (W) vs Kolbotn (W)?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Grei (W) 1.39 · Kolbotn (W) 1.87), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Grei (W) vs Kolbotn (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.